inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 111 Excitement8.0 [111] MVPJalen Suggs (ORL): +25.4%
Orlando Magic 107 Comeback2.3 [102] LVPFranz Wagner (ORL): -11.8%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luka Garza0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.230.120.110.00880%0.271-0.04450%-0.03
Derrick White0.210,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.210.030.17-0.011850%0.272-0.06667%-0.01
Jordan Walsh0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.170.060.11-0.003100%0.1700.0000%0.00
Anfernee Simons0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.16,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.20-0.030.011383%0.242-0.094100%0.02
Hugo González0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.06-0.001150%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Neemias Queta0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.05-0.00650%0.081-0.03450%-0.03
Jaylen Brown-0.020,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.012449%0.174-0.18786%0.01
Josh Minott-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Sam Hauser-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Payton Pritchard-0.090,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.02-0.02831%-0.013-0.0800%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jalen Suggs0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.250.250.130.12-0.00887%0.313-0.06786%0.01
Paolo Banchero0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.04,-0.01,0.08,0.160.160.060.09-0.011667%0.346-0.1810100%0.07
Goga Bitadze0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.02-0.01250%0.0300.0000%0.00
Tristan da Silva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.030.01960%0.0300.002100%0.02
Noah Penda00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Desmond Bane0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.01-0.00947%0.021-0.021100%0.01
Jonathan Isaac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tyus Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Black0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.02729%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.070.011055%-0.023-0.082100%0.01
Franz Wagner0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.03-0.070.021745%-0.042-0.081090%0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.70.031.60.032.10.035.10.0
league avg26.32.128.814.629.42.332.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +74.1%
ORL -18.0%
ORL -2.3%
ORL -4.2%
BOS +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSORLNBABOSORLNBA
this game15.514.414.1113.3113.8113.7
season15.013.9119.5114.6
opponent14.214.6110.5114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.816.214.515.515.5
ORL13.814.316.113.314.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hugo González34350.85-0.351.200.3517-133015.815.40.4514.514.30.16
Jordan Walsh85820.70-0.200.900.3512-82015.614.90.7014.811.23.59
Derrick White87840.63-0.130.770.437-31015.515.7-0.2214.414.20.20
Josh Minott83810.60-0.100.700.426-2815.615.10.5514.314.9-0.63
Jaylen Brown93900.490.010.490.4131215.614.80.7714.610.54.06
Luka Garza69670.460.040.420.4313-216.114.11.9814.414.20.23
Payton Pritchard84810.370.130.250.52-59-1416.012.63.3714.414.4-0.00
Anfernee Simons80770.300.200.090.126-2816.212.43.8515.011.53.48
Neemias Queta71690.220.28-0.060.37-59-1417.211.35.9014.813.41.39
Sam Hauser64600.010.49-0.49-0.0213-215.815.00.8115.113.11.94

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Noah Penda22230.06-0.560.620.002-6816.913.63.2415.115.7-0.58
Tristan da Silva7274-0.12-0.380.25-0.06-2-2015.111.93.2315.914.31.64
Jonathan Isaac2628-0.16-0.340.190.08-84-1214.614.30.2715.915.40.51
Goga Bitadze5960-0.26-0.24-0.020.00-95-1415.811.93.9316.214.51.64
Tyus Jones3637-0.43-0.07-0.360.01-1511-2616.912.84.1515.815.40.45
Franz Wagner9498-0.500.00-0.50-0.38-40-414.40.014.3815.50.015.53
Anthony Black7478-0.540.04-0.59-0.13-1410-2415.311.14.1715.914.11.80
Desmond Bane8690-0.570.07-0.64-0.39-62-814.315.2-0.9515.911.14.80
Wendell Carter Jr.8387-0.670.17-0.83-0.40-95-1414.414.10.3315.515.7-0.22
Jalen Suggs7275-0.690.19-0.87-0.42-95-1414.514.00.5015.715.00.69
Paolo Banchero7881-0.690.19-0.89-0.40-106-1614.712.72.0416.013.12.99


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.44,0.53,0.57,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.28,0.14,0.17,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 108, HOU 1040.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.27,0.21,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.15,0.05,091.4%
SAS 102, DEN 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.01,090.8%
POR 91, MIN 830.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.32,0.18,0.09,0.13,0.25,0.29,0.17,0.01,090.6%