NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	108		Excitement	8.1 [263]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +31.3%
Houston Rockets	104		Comeback	2.8 [159]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (IND): -30.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.15	0.13	0.01	7	107%	0.31	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24	0.16	0.08	0.00	10	82%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
JaKarr Sampson	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Edmond Sumner	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	11	61%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.05
Myles Turner	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	14	47%	0.06	2	-0.04	10	80%	0.01
Alize Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	9	33%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19	-0.18	-0.03	-0.02	11	9%	-0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.28,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.3	-0.22	-0.11	-0.03	26	31%	-0.16	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.31	0.31	0.27	0.08	0.04	21	80%	0.46	6	-0.15	14	86%	0.05
Chris Clemons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	12	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	61%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Michael Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	9	35%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.2,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	15	41%	-0.02	6	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.08	-0.01	9	17%	-0.11	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	3.4	28.9	15.0	30.0	2.6	30.2	136.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +14.2%

HOU -11.0%

IND +27.9%

IND +14.7%

IND +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	HOU	NBA	IND	HOU	NBA
this game	13.9	12.4	14.2	99.1	94.5	109.6
season	14.4	13.4		108.7	111.2
opponent	14.4	14.4		108.9	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.1	13.4	11.8	15.7	13.9
HOU	10.6	14.3	11.8	13.1	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug McDermott	53	53	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.35	18	-14	32	14.1	13.8	0.29	12.7	12.1	0.57
T.J. McConnell	56	55	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.11	19	-15	34	13.4	14.5	-1.17	11.3	13.5	-2.15
Justin Holiday	61	63	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.37	-2	6	-8	15.2	12.3	2.88	13.2	11.3	1.82
Goga Bitadze	41	40	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	-6	16	13.6	14.1	-0.59	10.6	13.4	-2.80
Edmond Sumner	59	59	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.15	13	-9	22	12.5	15.6	-3.05	11.7	13.2	-1.48
Victor Oladipo	83	83	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.40	-7	11	-18	14.1	13.3	0.86	12.9	10.9	1.93
Alize Johnson	43	43	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.01	6	-2	8	12.5	14.8	-2.30	11.1	13.2	-2.12
Myles Turner	58	60	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.50	-13	17	-30	14.7	13.1	1.59	13.5	11.0	2.57
Aaron Holiday	53	55	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.27	-15	19	-34	14.5	13.4	1.17	13.5	11.3	2.15
JaKarr Sampson	38	39	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.04	-9	13	-22	14.2	13.8	0.48	12.2	12.5	-0.27

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Tucker	62	61	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.09	9	-13	22	12.9	11.8	1.08	14.6	13.0	1.58
James Harden	80	79	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.31	11	-15	26	12.9	11.1	1.76	14.3	13.0	1.32
Chris Clemons	9	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.27	9	-13	22	11.2	12.5	-1.26	21.1	13.3	7.83
DeMarre Carroll	33	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-1	-2	11.1	12.9	-1.84	12.0	14.8	-2.80
Michael Frazier	28	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	1	-6	11.6	12.6	-0.99	15.4	13.4	1.97
Robert Covington	84	81	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-6	8	12.5	11.8	0.70	13.8	14.3	-0.48
Ben McLemore	61	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-1	-2	13.8	10.7	3.08	14.1	13.8	0.31
Eric Gordon	50	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	2	-8	11.1	13.5	-2.42	13.5	14.3	-0.86
Austin Rivers	72	71	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.00	-18	14	-32	13.0	11.1	1.91	13.0	15.6	-2.58
Jeff Green	71	72	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.26	-16	12	-28	11.4	14.3	-2.90	13.6	14.5	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.27,0.21,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.15,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 77, ATL 70	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.02,0	93.9%
MIA 94, ATL 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.48,0.32,0.1,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	93.2%
IND 106, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.04,0	92.9%