inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 122 Excitement8.3 [181] MVPKevin Durant (HOU): +35.5%
Milwaukee Bucks 115 Comeback9.9 [138] LVPJosh Okogie (HOU): -5.4%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0.360,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.36,0.360.190.190.031579%0.443-0.09978%-0.01
Steven Adams0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.070.08-0.00775%0.171-0.032100%0.02
Jabari Smith Jr.0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.16,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12-0.020.140.001547%0.192-0.07475%0.01
Reed Sheppard0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.020.011080%0.182-0.0700%0.00
Alperen Sengun0.100,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.10.050.070.021570%0.265-0.15367%-0.02
Tari Eason0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.03-0.01837%0.0200.0000%0.00
Clint Capela-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00450%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Amen Thompson-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.010.001348%0.033-0.07367%-0.00
Josh Okogie-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ryan Rollins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.320.320.100.19-0.031270%0.352-0.03367%-0.00
Bobby Portis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.080.060.00492%0.181-0.04450%-0.02
Kyle Kuzma0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.010.00779%0.1000.0000%0.00
Gary Trent Jr.0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.07-0.020.02675%0.0300.0000%0.00
Cole Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.02963%0.114-0.081100%0.01
Myles Turner0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.011154%0.041-0.0320%-0.03
Amir Coffey00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
AJ Green0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.03-0.01530%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.21,-0.03,-0.04-0.040.10-0.15-0.012558%0.153-0.181464%-0.17
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.20.027.80.031.90.045.00.0
league avg26.32.028.914.329.62.232.8136.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +7.2%
HOU +19.6%
HOU +32.0%
MIL -10.0%
HOU +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUMILNBAHOUMILNBA
this game15.813.714.2124.5118.6113.5
season15.514.7115.9112.1
opponent14.313.9115.8111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU17.615.316.614.115.8
MIL14.311.814.714.113.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jabari Smith Jr.85830.71-0.210.910.3014-72116.014.61.3714.111.32.81
Kevin Durant95940.66-0.160.820.3112-51715.912.33.5813.95.78.28
Josh Okogie87860.58-0.080.660.2611-41516.311.64.7014.011.32.73
Alperen Sengun89880.56-0.060.620.2411-41516.212.33.8214.29.05.17
Reed Sheppard96940.490.010.480.268-1916.11.514.6013.98.35.53
Tari Eason96940.490.010.480.268-1916.11.514.6013.98.35.53
Amen Thompson98960.470.030.450.2770715.80.015.8113.78.05.75
Clint Capela1515-0.190.69-0.880.01-714-2116.515.70.7812.313.9-1.61
Steven Adams8685-0.400.90-1.29-0.22-613-1916.312.24.0513.614.4-0.83

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cole Anthony72710.26-0.761.010.115-121714.112.61.4216.513.92.70
Bobby Portis79790.21-0.710.920.210-7713.713.40.3016.512.83.74
Amir Coffey38370.05-0.550.60-0.012-91114.413.31.1118.314.34.00
Kyle Kuzma9393-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.24-2-5313.99.74.1116.29.46.75
Ryan Rollins8384-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.26-4-3-113.912.51.3916.113.92.19
Myles Turner8991-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.25-6-1-514.010.63.3415.914.61.33
Giannis Antetokounmpo9798-0.500.00-0.50-0.29-70-713.70.013.6915.80.015.81
AJ Green6060-0.530.03-0.55-0.29-81-914.013.20.8516.414.91.53
Gary Trent Jr.7981-0.550.05-0.60-0.29-92-1113.813.10.7816.213.82.40


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.8,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.8,0.63,0.83,0.78,0.87,0.69,0.64,0.43,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 102, MEM 990.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.53,0.73,0.87,0.76,0.86,0.69,0.63,0.23,0.15,091.9%
TOR 91, BOS 890.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.74,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.78,0.53,0.64,0.31,0.08,091.7%
IND 104, CHA 1010.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.55,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.58,0.74,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.57,0.16,091.2%