NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	116		Excitement	7.6 [172]		MVP	Moses Moody (GSW): +33.8%
Sacramento Kings	121		Comeback	3.5 [215]		LVP	Al Horford (GSW): -23.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moses Moody	0.34	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.07,0.14,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.19	0.16	0.01	15	82%	0.44	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.07
Will Richard	0.26	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.24	0.08	0.06	15	81%	0.29	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.02
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	75%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Brandin Podziemski	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.04	10	64%	0.15	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Gary Payton II	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gui Santos	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	-0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	19	52%	0.05	5	-0.13	8	75%	0.01
Pat Spencer	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Quinten Post	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.15	-0.10	-0.01	8	0%	-0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.07	-0.00	13	82%	0.29	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	12	66%	0.17	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.03
Nique Clifford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	8	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dennis Schr�der	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.06,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.07	-0.01	17	47%	0.11	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	75%	0.11	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.01	0.04	20	51%	0.05	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.05
Maxime Raynaud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	60%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Devin Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	1.6	26.5	13.6	33.2	0.3	41.7	145.2
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.9	14.5	29.5	2.3	32.7	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +13.8%

SAC +5.2%

SAC +12.8%

SAC +16.7%

SAC +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SAC	NBA	GSW	SAC	NBA
this game	13.6	13.2	14.1	109.4	111.0	113.8
season	14.7	14.1		112.4	106.8
opponent	14.1	13.6		118.3	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.2	14.5	14.6	11.9	13.6
SAC	14.3	12.7	10.2	15.6	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gui Santos	29	29	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.06	8	-13	21	13.4	13.7	-0.25	13.8	12.9	0.90
Quinten Post	64	66	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.26	5	-10	15	13.5	13.8	-0.32	14.2	11.6	2.65
Trayce Jackson-Davis	35	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-1	-3	14.7	13.1	1.63	11.6	13.9	-2.30
Buddy Hield	74	75	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.07	-5	0	-5	13.8	13.1	0.67	12.7	14.2	-1.56
Brandin Podziemski	86	89	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-7	9	13.8	12.9	0.86	13.2	12.9	0.26
Will Richard	92	96	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.36	1	-6	7	13.8	12.3	1.51	13.3	12.4	0.89
Jonathan Kuminga	101	105	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-3	1	13.7	11.4	2.30	13.5	5.5	7.96
Gary Payton II	67	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	3	-11	13.8	13.2	0.62	13.4	12.7	0.70
Pat Spencer	92	94	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	4	-13	13.6	13.4	0.27	13.3	12.6	0.66
Moses Moody	96	98	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	-1	-3	13.8	11.8	1.98	13.0	14.9	-1.94
Al Horford	105	108	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	13.7	6.0	7.67	13.3	1.0	12.28

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nique Clifford	107	104	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.33	5	0	5	13.3	5.0	8.32	13.6	14.5	-0.92
Dennis Schr�der	92	90	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.37	3	2	1	13.2	13.0	0.20	13.6	13.6	0.04
Malik Monk	105	102	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.42	0	5	-5	13.2	11.5	1.73	13.7	10.0	3.74
DeMar DeRozan	96	92	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.36	-1	6	-7	13.3	12.4	0.89	13.8	12.3	1.51
Russell Westbrook	91	88	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.31	0	5	-5	13.2	13.1	0.13	13.7	12.8	0.92
Drew Eubanks	100	96	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	4	-3	13.5	9.0	4.54	13.5	14.2	-0.67
Keon Ellis	96	94	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.33	-4	9	-13	13.5	10.5	2.98	13.9	11.1	2.83
Precious Achiuwa	66	64	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.17	1	4	-3	12.7	13.9	-1.19	13.9	13.1	0.83
Devin Carter	26	26	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.05	-7	12	-19	14.3	12.8	1.55	13.2	13.7	-0.53
Maxime Raynaud	79	76	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.01	-9	14	-23	13.3	12.9	0.41	13.5	13.8	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.64,0.55,0.78,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 97, MIL 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.77,0.69,0.54,0.72,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.6%
NJN 93, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.98,1	92.9%
IND 87, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.31,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	92.2%