NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	97		Excitement	6.5 [517]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): +27.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	107		Comeback	3.2 [654]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): -15.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	15	63%	0.18	2	-0.09	8	87%	0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.03	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	23	57%	0.16	6	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Mark Strickland	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	10	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
DerMarr Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	7	39%	-0.06	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Hanno Mottola	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	11	38%	-0.08	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.17	0.11	-0.01	23	64%	0.28	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.09	0.00	4	125%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.04	0.01	13	53%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.01	9	67%	0.10	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	10	64%	0.13	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Anthony Mason	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	14	37%	-0.09	1	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	23.5	15.8	27.0	1.7	30.5	123.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +57.8%

ATL -11.5%

ATL -0.5%

MIL +6.5%

ATL -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIL	NBA	ATL	MIL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.5	15.6	101.0	111.5	102.3
season	15.5	15.3		99.7	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.2		105.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.0	16.7	16.7	14.3	15.5
MIL	16.5	14.6	11.4	15.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	40	39	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.03	0	-10	10	14.8	15.9	-1.15	14.5	14.6	-0.12
DerMarr Johnson	20	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-5	0	16.3	15.2	1.11	15.4	14.3	1.10
Mark Strickland	28	28	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-6	2	15.2	15.6	-0.41	16.1	13.9	2.28
Dion Glover	47	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-6	2	15.6	15.4	0.21	15.2	14.0	1.19
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	80	81	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.15	-5	-5	0	15.4	15.9	-0.49	14.1	16.9	-2.77
Cal Bowdler	37	37	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	-2	-6	16.7	14.7	1.96	13.9	14.9	-1.00
Hanno Mottola	71	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.18	-8	-2	-6	15.9	14.4	1.50	14.4	15.0	-0.69
Jason Terry	82	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	1	-12	15.2	16.8	-1.54	14.0	17.2	-3.16
Jacque Vaughn	52	53	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.14	-12	2	-14	15.4	15.5	-0.10	14.0	15.1	-1.10

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Mason	85	84	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.28	15	-5	20	14.4	15.4	-0.94	15.4	15.7	-0.23
Sam Cassell	72	71	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.24	14	-4	18	14.1	15.8	-1.74	15.5	15.3	0.26
Tim Thomas	69	70	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.06	20	-10	30	13.9	16.1	-2.25	15.4	15.5	-0.10
Darvin Ham	53	51	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.24	7	3	4	13.9	15.3	-1.31	16.0	14.9	1.09
Michael Redd	60	60	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	5	0	14.7	14.2	0.54	15.2	15.9	-0.72
Glenn Robinson	70	72	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	11	-12	15.1	12.9	2.21	15.1	16.5	-1.32
Joel Przybilla	23	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	15	-20	16.0	14.1	1.99	15.4	15.5	-0.04
Ervin Johnson	24	24	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.08	-1	11	-12	14.3	14.6	-0.26	16.2	15.2	1.04
Rafer Alston	24	25	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	14	-18	15.8	14.1	1.74	15.3	15.5	-0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.77,0.69,0.54,0.72,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.98,1	91.5%
BOS 90, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.39,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.36,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.99,0.96,1	91.5%
LAC 88, WAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.93,1,1,1	91.5%