NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	87		Excitement	5.7 [687]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIA): +22.3%
Miami Heat	99		Comeback	5.2 [526]		LVP	Chris Bosh (MIA): -7.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	6	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	13	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	1	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Paul George	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	13	47%	0.08	2	-0.06	10	60%	-0.01
Lance Stephenson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	9	43%	0.03	3	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Evan Turner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	5	62%	0.05	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
David West	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	8	68%	0.09	5	-0.15	3	100%	0.03

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.12	0.04	6	94%	0.26	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.12	-0.02	16	64%	0.28	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.09	-0.01	14	70%	0.31	6	-0.16	9	78%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.02	6	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Udonis Haslem	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	12	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	3.5	34.4	18.7	31.9	2.0	30.3	148.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +43.7%

IND -2.9%

MIA +2.1%

MIA +10.2%

IND -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIA	NBA	IND	MIA	NBA
this game	17.2	16.2	15.1	100.0	116.5	105.2
season	15.8	15.6		102.7	109.7
opponent	15.8	15.2		105.1	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.3	18.5	17.5	16.6	17.2
MIA	15.7	14.9	14.5	20.2	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	22	22	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.00	7	-19	26	16.9	17.4	-0.49	18.2	15.6	2.67
George Hill	38	39	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.11	8	-20	28	16.2	18.1	-1.90	17.5	15.2	2.29
Ian Mahinmi	16	15	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.11	6	-18	24	18.1	17.0	1.10	17.7	15.9	1.80
Evan Turner	7	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-7	2	17.0	17.2	-0.25	13.8	16.4	-2.60
Rasual Butler	29	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-12	12	16.6	17.6	-0.97	17.3	15.7	1.56
Paul George	58	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	-2	-8	16.9	17.9	-1.05	16.7	15.2	1.57
Lance Stephenson	83	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.18	-9	-3	-6	17.4	13.5	3.91	16.1	18.6	-2.50
Roy Hibbert	67	65	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	0.05	-21	9	-30	17.6	15.9	1.66	15.3	19.3	-3.99
CJ Watson	50	47	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.13	-17	5	-22	17.8	16.5	1.25	15.4	17.3	-1.98
David West	65	63	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.14	-19	7	-26	17.4	16.9	0.49	15.6	18.2	-2.67

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	72	74	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.05	22	-10	32	15.6	19.8	-4.25	17.3	16.9	0.36
Rashard Lewis	33	33	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.07	21	-9	30	13.6	17.9	-4.32	17.6	17.0	0.56
Norris Cole	57	60	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.04	15	-3	18	17.4	14.0	3.40	16.8	18.3	-1.49
Ray Allen	46	47	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	4	4	17.6	14.7	2.92	17.1	17.4	-0.36
Dwyane Wade	66	65	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	3	6	16.0	16.9	-0.90	18.0	14.9	3.17
Udonis Haslem	31	33	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	11	-10	14.7	17.1	-2.42	17.6	17.0	0.56
Chris Andersen	40	41	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	12	-12	16.5	16.0	0.52	16.9	17.5	-0.67
Mario Chalmers	26	26	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	13	-14	14.6	17.0	-2.35	17.7	17.0	0.60
James Jones	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	23.0	16.2	6.83	3.0	17.4	-14.40
Toney Douglas	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	23.0	16.2	6.83	3.0	17.4	-14.40
Shane Battier	14	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	13	-14	15.7	16.4	-0.64	14.3	17.8	-3.50
Chris Bosh	38	39	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.08	-8	20	-28	18.7	14.2	4.50	18.1	16.6	1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.31,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 90, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%
NJN 93, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.98,1	93.6%
BKN 93, GSW 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.68,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.0%