NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	114		Excitement	1.8 [508]		MVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): +23.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	106		Comeback	1.1 [930]		LVP	Jaylen Wells (MEM): -21.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cade Cunningham	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.19,0.23,0.23	0.14	0.11	0.01	20	66%	0.31	3	-0.07	10	60%	0.01
Isaiah Stewart	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18	0.12	0.06	0.00	18	62%	0.20	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Ronald Holland II	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	-0.00	8	74%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Duncan Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	7	45%	0.00	2	-0.04	6	17%	-0.06
Jalen Duren	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.02	0.04	11	54%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.05	0.01	14	72%	0.21	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Cedric Coward	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	9	77%	0.16	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Jock Landale	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	9	65%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Williams Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	3	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Cam Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.07	6	100%	0.06	3	-0.07	1	100%	-0.00
Charles Bassey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	9	61%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ja Morant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	16	44%	0.00	5	-0.12	9	89%	0.02
Jaylen Wells	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.06	0.00	14	14%	-0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.2	38.1	0.0	28.0	0.0	31.9	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +41.9%

MEM -5.7%

MEM -1.5%

DET +14.3%

DET +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MEM	NBA	DET	MEM	NBA
this game	14.6	14.2	14.2	114.0	106.0	113.4
season	14.2	13.8		114.8	111.4
opponent	14.2	14.4		117.2	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	12.8	12.3	15.6	17.8	14.6
MEM	13.2	16.0	16.4	11.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Javonte Green	94	94	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.05	20	-12	32	14.2	20.0	-5.80	14.3	13.0	1.29
Jalen Duren	89	88	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.22	11	-3	14	14.6	14.0	0.62	14.9	9.5	5.35
Cade Cunningham	84	82	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-2	12	14.3	15.7	-1.43	14.5	12.8	1.75
Isaiah Stewart	77	75	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.25	6	2	4	14.7	14.0	0.66	14.5	13.5	0.97
Duncan Robinson	87	87	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.23	6	2	4	15.0	11.7	3.28	14.5	12.1	2.45
Ausar Thompson	83	85	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.21	6	2	4	15.0	12.5	2.43	14.1	14.7	-0.62
Ronald Holland II	85	85	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	2	4	14.4	15.4	-1.00	14.6	12.0	2.60
Caris LeVert	74	75	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	-1	10	13.6	17.2	-3.52	15.0	11.8	3.21
Paul Reed	49	51	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.05	6	2	4	14.0	15.0	-1.00	14.7	13.7	0.93

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jock Landale	87	85	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-6	4	13.9	16.1	-2.15	15.2	10.9	4.33
Cam Spencer	71	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.30	-1	-7	6	14.5	13.5	0.98	15.4	12.3	3.10
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	73	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	1	-10	14.8	12.6	2.27	14.5	14.6	-0.14
Jaylen Wells	73	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-3	-2	14.4	13.6	0.80	15.0	13.3	1.67
Jaren Jackson Jr.	81	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	-1	-6	15.0	11.1	3.90	15.0	12.6	2.36
Cedric Coward	99	98	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.28	-6	-2	-4	14.1	21.0	-6.86	14.7	5.5	9.23
Charles Bassey	71	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.04	-14	6	-20	16.0	9.7	6.32	13.6	16.8	-3.21
Vince Williams Jr.	79	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	2	-12	15.2	10.4	4.79	14.3	15.7	-1.47
Ja Morant	100	100	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	14.2	0.0	14.21	14.5	0.0	14.55
Santi Aldama	85	84	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.01	-17	9	-26	14.6	12.2	2.36	13.9	18.1	-4.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.34,0.38,0.3,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.21,0.09,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 118, PHX 110	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.7%
UTA 109, PHI 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%
MIA 91, ATL 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.04,0	93.6%