inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 91 Excitement1.5 [748] MVPJason Williams (MIA): +10.1%
Atlanta Hawks 83 Comeback1.0 [1034] LVPJosh Smith (ATL): -10.1%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Williams0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.10.070.050.021466%0.173-0.074100%0.00
Michael Doleac0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.010.00771%0.0800.0000%0.00
Eddie Jones0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.040.020.00-0.021061%0.083-0.043100%0.00
Dorell Wright0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.01367%0.031-0.0200%0.00
James Posey0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.00762%0.042-0.042100%0.01
Gary Payton-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01633%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01855%0.043-0.05667%-0.01
Antoine Walker-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.01733%-0.0200.00425%-0.03
Udonis Haslem-0.100,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.010.001045%0.004-0.1020%-0.03

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Solomon Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.01662%0.032-0.03450%-0.02
Josh Childress0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.01845%0.022-0.06475%0.01
Shelden Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.000.00729%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Lorenzen Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.000.0000%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00633%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Salim Stoudamire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.010.031146%-0.012-0.066100%0.03
Marvin Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.020.011547%-0.033-0.05450%-0.03
Tyronn Lue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.0030%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Josh Smith0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.030.032647%-0.014-0.10633%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.31.825.716.031.22.632.3137.9
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +59.5%
ATL -7.1%
ATL -9.5%
MIA +6.3%
MIA +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAATLNBAMIAATLNBA
this game16.615.215.4100.092.2104.5
season16.016.1102.4101.1
opponent15.315.6106.1104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA17.215.515.717.816.6
ATL16.217.315.012.715.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eddie Jones74730.440.060.380.189-11016.716.10.6314.816.9-2.09
Antoine Walker45440.400.100.300.149-11015.617.5-1.8316.014.51.52
Jason Williams74720.340.160.180.1762415.819.9-4.0715.016.2-1.15
Dorell Wright43400.280.220.070.1162415.717.4-1.7415.515.00.55
Udonis Haslem61610.220.28-0.050.1917-616.017.7-1.6314.916.0-1.06
Shaquille O'Neal38390.220.28-0.050.1726-419.314.64.7114.415.9-1.43
James Posey51530.220.28-0.060.1335-216.516.6-0.0514.516.4-1.93
Gary Payton31310.190.31-0.110.1908-818.815.43.3415.315.20.12
Michael Doleac38370.170.33-0.150.0644016.316.8-0.4417.713.54.17

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Solomon Jones1010-0.05-0.450.40-0.050-8811.915.7-3.7613.716.9-3.23
Lorenzen Wright2323-0.15-0.350.20-0.150-8813.715.8-2.0821.115.06.04
Zaza Pachulia3940-0.15-0.350.20-0.150-8815.814.81.0617.815.62.19
Shelden Williams2930-0.17-0.330.15-0.03-5-3-216.114.81.3213.318.2-4.83
Tyronn Lue4042-0.19-0.310.12-0.221-91017.513.44.1016.017.1-1.15
Salim Stoudamire3436-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.09-6-2-415.914.81.0714.118.2-4.02
Anthony Johnson5049-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.04-91-1013.417.5-4.1017.116.01.15
Josh Childress7576-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.25-3-5214.120.7-6.5916.914.72.20
Josh Smith7878-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.20-80-815.712.23.4616.815.21.65
Marvin Williams7271-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.15-102-1215.812.83.0116.815.80.92


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 111, NYK 870.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.0%
HOU 118, PHX 1100.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,094.5%
CHA 118, NYK 1100.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.25,0.2,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,094.5%