NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	122		Excitement	5.2 [484]		MVP	Julius Randle (MIN): +17.6%
Charlotte Hornets	105		Comeback	2.7 [402]		LVP	LaMelo Ball (CHA): -12.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.19	0.03	0.04	19	73%	0.24	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.02	14	60%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Naz Reid	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	13	64%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Jaden McDaniels	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	10	70%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bones Hyland	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	6	71%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jaylen Clark	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Shannon Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Johnny Juzang	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joan Beringer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rob Dillingham	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Bridges	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.25	-0.01	0.06	16	83%	0.21	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Moussa Diabat�	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	5	69%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Sion James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	3	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tre Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	15	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Ryan Kalkbrenner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	47%	0.02	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Tidjane Sala�n	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kon Knueppel	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	-0.05	9	25%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Liam McNeeley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.04	0.03	19	45%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	0.0	31.7	13.3	27.3	0.6	36.9	135.9
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +48.8%

CHA -12.2%

CHA -2.7%

MIN +18.3%

CHA -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CHA	NBA	MIN	CHA	NBA
this game	14.0	14.1	14.2	119.6	101.9	113.5
season	13.9	14.8		115.5	115.1
opponent	14.0	14.1		113.0	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.0	15.5	11.7	15.9	14.0
CHA	16.2	12.8	13.9	13.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donte DiVincenzo	91	93	0.64	-0.14	0.77	-0.01	22	-5	27	14.4	10.7	3.67	13.7	17.3	-3.59
Naz Reid	79	79	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.15	16	1	15	14.2	13.5	0.67	14.0	14.2	-0.20
Rob Dillingham	77	77	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.01	17	0	17	13.5	15.5	-2.01	14.5	12.8	1.72
Rudy Gobert	99	100	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.00	17	0	17	14.0	13.0	1.03	14.1	12.3	1.78
Jaden McDaniels	91	93	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	6	5	14.0	14.0	0.00	14.4	11.2	3.17
Jaylen Clark	69	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.05	16	1	15	14.6	12.8	1.75	13.3	15.6	-2.28
Julius Randle	89	89	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.03	12	5	7	14.5	10.8	3.70	13.8	15.9	-2.08
Mike Conley	76	76	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.12	15	2	13	14.8	11.6	3.25	13.2	16.5	-3.28
Johnny Juzang	25	24	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	12	-7	15.9	13.4	2.49	13.5	14.2	-0.78
Joan Beringer	22	21	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	12	-7	16.3	13.4	2.90	13.6	14.2	-0.55
Terrence Shannon Jr.	65	64	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	13	-9	14.9	12.4	2.59	14.5	13.3	1.21
Bones Hyland	44	44	0.02	0.47	-0.45	-0.06	3	14	-11	16.1	12.4	3.72	13.5	14.5	-0.97

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sion James	89	88	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	-11	5	13.9	15.3	-1.42	14.5	10.6	3.89
Kon Knueppel	99	98	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	-1	-15	14.1	13.2	0.84	14.1	11.0	3.12
Miles Bridges	100	99	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.01	-17	0	-17	14.1	12.3	1.78	14.0	13.0	1.03
Moussa Diabat�	96	94	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.05	-15	-2	-13	14.2	12.6	1.60	13.9	14.6	-0.68
Tre Mann	99	99	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.03	-18	1	-19	13.8	20.7	-6.96	14.1	10.3	3.78
LaMelo Ball	100	99	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.00	-17	0	-17	14.1	12.3	1.78	14.0	13.0	1.03
Collin Sexton	61	60	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.07	-17	0	-17	14.5	13.4	1.18	12.6	16.0	-3.40
Ryan Kalkbrenner	93	92	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.01	-20	3	-23	13.6	18.7	-5.14	14.4	10.5	3.88
Tidjane Sala�n	68	67	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	0.03	-28	11	-39	13.5	15.2	-1.69	14.4	13.3	1.04
Liam McNeeley	60	59	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	0.05	-29	12	-41	13.6	14.7	-1.02	13.7	14.4	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.22,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 103, CHA 87	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
CHI 112, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%
POR 87, UTA 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%