NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	135		Excitement	7.9 [222]		MVP	Kyle Kuzma (MIL): +29.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	133		Comeback	4.3 [86]		LVP	Cole Anthony (MIL): -13.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0.25	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.21	0.05	0.01	17	70%	0.25	0	0.00	10	90%	0.05
Dennis Schr�der	0.24	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.24	0.14	0.09	-0.01	13	77%	0.32	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.06
DeMar DeRozan	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.14	0.10	0.04	0.01	19	60%	0.21	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.08
Drew Eubanks	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.00	6	77%	0.14	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Domantas Sabonis	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	13	67%	0.24	3	-0.10	10	80%	0.01
Keon Ellis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dylan Cardwell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.05	-0.03	14	37%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Maxime Raynaud	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nique Clifford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.17	0.11	-0.01	13	73%	0.29	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.06	-0.01	9	80%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.09	0.00	6	64%	0.16	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.2,0.27,0.07	0.07	0.14	-0.04	0.03	13	65%	0.27	1	-0.20	14	64%	-0.02
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	-0.04	0.02	7	89%	0.15	1	-0.08	5	60%	0.01
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
AJ Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0	-0.00	0.11	-0.07	0.04	12	65%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.01
Ryan Rollins	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	0.00	13	62%	0.07	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.0	0.8	34.1	0.0	32.5	0.0	41.1	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -43.5%

SAC +53.7%

SAC +11.3%

SAC +26.1%

SAC +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIL	NBA	SAC	MIL	NBA
this game	15.5	12.9	14.2	135.0	129.1	113.5
season	14.3	14.7		107.9	112.1
opponent	14.3	14.1		115.8	118.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.5	13.5	15.1	18.3	15.5
MIL	10.6	14.8	13.2	13.2	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	92	94	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.40	7	-5	12	15.6	14.1	1.49	13.0	11.1	1.93
Domantas Sabonis	89	92	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.47	4	-2	6	16.0	11.8	4.14	12.9	12.3	0.67
Dennis Schr�der	95	97	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.43	4	-2	6	15.7	11.6	4.11	12.9	13.0	-0.13
Zach LaVine	95	99	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.47	0	2	-2	15.8	10.0	5.79	12.9	12.7	0.13
Russell Westbrook	85	89	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.46	-3	5	-8	15.8	13.6	2.24	13.0	12.0	1.01
Nique Clifford	78	81	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	-5	12	15.2	16.5	-1.34	12.8	13.2	-0.39
Drew Eubanks	84	88	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.46	-7	9	-16	15.9	13.6	2.23	12.8	13.3	-0.54
Keon Ellis	64	68	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	5	-8	15.2	15.9	-0.69	12.7	13.3	-0.58
Dylan Cardwell	32	34	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.51	-16	18	-34	19.0	13.8	5.19	12.1	13.3	-1.22
Maxime Raynaud	20	21	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.11	-12	14	-26	16.5	15.2	1.31	9.9	13.6	-3.79

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taurean Prince	48	47	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.16	9	-11	20	12.4	13.3	-0.93	15.1	15.8	-0.74
Cole Anthony	67	64	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-4	6	12.8	13.1	-0.32	15.3	15.9	-0.61
Bobby Portis	86	84	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-3	4	12.9	12.8	0.06	15.0	18.1	-3.05
Amir Coffey	70	68	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-2	2	12.9	12.8	0.04	15.5	15.4	0.09
Jericho Sims	24	22	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.36	4	-6	10	13.2	12.8	0.44	18.3	14.7	3.61
Kyle Kuzma	97	93	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	3	-8	13.0	10.7	2.34	15.5	15.9	-0.38
Myles Turner	69	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.46	1	-3	4	13.6	11.5	2.09	16.5	13.4	3.08
Gary Trent Jr.	99	95	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.46	0	-2	2	12.9	12.7	0.13	15.8	10.0	5.79
Ryan Rollins	90	88	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.46	-3	1	-4	12.9	12.9	-0.06	16.0	12.2	3.79
AJ Green	85	82	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.45	-4	2	-6	13.1	11.7	1.46	15.7	14.4	1.36
Giannis Antetokounmpo	88	84	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.50	-3	1	-4	13.0	12.3	0.63	16.0	12.7	3.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.81,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.32,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.16,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 104, PHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.17,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.09,0	91.9%
HOU 96, PHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.16,0.04,0.1,0.19,0.06,0.02,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.03,0.08,0	91.8%
DEN 112, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.43,0.55,0.48,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.29,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	91.6%