NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	104		Excitement	6.4 [482]		MVP	Walt Williams (TOR): +21.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	97		Comeback	5.9 [38]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (TOR): -21.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.23	0.02	0.03	18	81%	0.26	2	-0.04	12	92%	0.03
Zan Tabak	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	9	58%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Garner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	56%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Oliver Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	7	52%	0.04	2	-0.06	7	71%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	16	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22	-0.17	-0.06	-0.01	15	29%	-0.16	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	6	42%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	14	58%	0.02	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	56%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	5	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rex Walters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.15,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	16	49%	-0.06	2	-0.03	11	45%	-0.08
Jim Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	11	50%	-0.01	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	0.01	13	44%	-0.10	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.7	29.1	14.4	27.4	2.3	33.5	130.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +4.9%

TOR +22.4%

TOR +14.9%

TOR +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	15.7	14.6	15.6	109.5	102.1	102.5
season	15.5	15.4		98.7	99.7
opponent	15.5	14.8		102.1	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.9	14.0	15.5	17.7	15.7
PHI	12.4	15.4	16.5	14.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walt Williams	73	74	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.19	18	-11	29	15.6	16.1	-0.47	14.8	13.9	0.94
Marcus Camby	72	72	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-3	13	15.7	15.8	-0.13	14.4	15.1	-0.71
John Wallace	74	76	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.14	12	-5	17	15.5	16.6	-1.15	14.9	13.2	1.79
Oliver Miller	70	72	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.23	8	-1	9	16.3	14.0	2.34	14.4	15.1	-0.66
Damon Stoudamire	81	80	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.25	7	0	7	15.6	16.4	-0.82	14.8	13.6	1.18
Reggie Slater	22	20	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	4	-1	14.0	16.2	-2.25	16.6	14.0	2.61
Tracy McGrady	35	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	9	-11	14.5	16.4	-1.96	13.5	15.1	-1.60
Zan Tabak	40	38	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.33	-15	22	-37	16.8	14.9	1.90	14.4	14.7	-0.28
Chris Garner	8	10	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.06	-6	13	-19	19.9	15.3	4.53	11.2	15.0	-3.79

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Davis	28	29	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.10	10	-17	27	15.0	14.4	0.53	17.0	15.2	1.83
Doug Overton	8	9	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.08	8	-15	23	15.7	14.5	1.27	14.0	15.9	-1.91
Eric Montross	38	38	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.22	10	-17	27	13.3	15.4	-2.08	17.1	14.8	2.21
Anthony Parker	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-7	7	2.0	14.7	-12.72	8.5	15.9	-7.38
Rex Walters	4	4	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-1	-5	22.5	14.2	8.26	12.5	15.9	-3.37
Tim Thomas	27	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.01	-5	-2	-3	15.3	14.3	0.99	15.1	16.0	-0.90
Terry Cummings	36	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	2	-11	17.8	12.6	5.18	14.5	16.5	-2.08
Scott Williams	29	26	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.12	-14	7	-21	16.3	13.8	2.43	13.0	16.8	-3.75
Clar. Weatherspoon	74	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-3	-1	13.8	17.3	-3.46	16.2	13.8	2.38
Jerry Stackhouse	76	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.28	-7	0	-7	14.1	16.5	-2.36	15.7	15.9	-0.28
Allen Iverson	83	82	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.25	-9	2	-11	14.1	18.0	-3.90	16.1	13.5	2.53
Jim Jackson	71	69	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.34	-9	2	-11	14.0	16.3	-2.33	16.2	14.6	1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.17,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 96, PHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.16,0.04,0.1,0.19,0.06,0.02,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.03,0.08,0	92.0%
HOU 95, NOP 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.3,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.02,0	92.0%
DET 92, CHI 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.19,0.18,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.0%