NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	92		Excitement	3.6 [1111]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): +15.3%
Chicago Bulls	79		Comeback	4.8 [126]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -12.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.02	15	72%	0.18	3	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.04	16	49%	0.09	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	8	62%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	9	81%	0.11	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	125%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	13	36%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	3	29%	0.01	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Carlos Arroyo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	15	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.05	8	59%	0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Basden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	30%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	11	36%	-0.00	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	15	47%	0.04	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	3	11%	-0.03	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.03	0.04	13	35%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.7	26.3	15.7	24.2	2.6	33.2	129.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +36.3%

DET +6.5%

DET +1.7%

DET +8.4%

CHI -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHI	NBA	DET	CHI	NBA
this game	17.8	13.4	15.6	98.9	85.9	104.4
season	16.9	14.4		108.3	102.6
opponent	16.1	15.8		102.1	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	20.5	18.2	18.9	14.5	17.8
CHI	13.8	15.2	13.2	11.7	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	63	60	0.69	-0.19	0.89	-0.10	27	-14	41	18.2	16.8	1.46	14.1	11.9	2.18
Rasheed Wallace	79	77	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.05	18	-5	23	17.9	17.1	0.72	13.9	10.6	3.30
Chauncey Billups	65	65	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.19	11	2	9	17.4	18.5	-1.07	13.4	13.2	0.19
Richard Hamilton	70	69	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	4	5	17.3	19.0	-1.71	13.9	11.8	2.10
Ben Wallace	44	45	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	8	-3	19.5	16.2	3.32	13.8	13.0	0.78
Antonio McDyess	57	56	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	11	-9	17.4	18.3	-0.86	12.5	14.7	-2.15
Maurice Evans	33	34	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.10	7	6	1	17.7	17.8	-0.13	12.1	14.1	-1.92
Carlos Arroyo	28	27	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.08	2	11	-9	18.5	17.4	1.07	13.2	13.4	-0.19
Carlos Delfino	26	27	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.27	-16	29	-45	15.3	18.7	-3.39	11.4	14.2	-2.76

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	15	14	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.07	10	-23	33	12.9	13.4	-0.51	21.1	17.2	3.91
Darius Songaila	30	28	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.07	-1	-12	11	12.1	14.0	-1.92	18.6	17.4	1.17
Malik Allen	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-19	25	12.7	13.4	-0.74	17.5	17.8	-0.27
Eddie Basden	23	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-14	15	10.4	14.3	-3.96	13.2	19.3	-6.08
Ben Gordon	53	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.26	6	-19	25	11.8	15.4	-3.56	18.1	17.3	0.79
Luol Deng	64	67	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-11	9	12.3	15.8	-3.54	17.8	17.7	0.08
Tyson Chandler	46	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-4	-5	13.7	13.1	0.59	19.0	16.5	2.47
Kirk Hinrich	68	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	-3	-7	13.7	12.2	1.50	16.9	20.3	-3.48
Chris Duhon	50	52	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.13	-21	8	-29	15.4	11.0	4.38	19.1	16.1	3.00
Andres Nocioni	45	45	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.11	-22	9	-31	15.0	11.7	3.30	16.3	19.1	-2.84
Michael Sweetney	60	62	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.01	-23	10	-33	14.2	11.8	2.42	18.1	17.1	0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.19,0.18,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 108, NJN 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.42,0.28,0.3,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
TOR 110, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
GSW 102, SAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.24,0.13,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.0%