inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 108 Excitement5.6 [218] MVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +28.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder 127 Comeback1.4 [368] LVPAlex Caruso (OKC): -12.3%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
CJ McCollum0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.050.051086%0.181-0.032100%0.01
Marvin Bagley III0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.05-0.00480%0.121-0.02250%-0.01
Bilal Coulibaly0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.00-0.01-0.051262%0.134-0.092100%0.01
Kyshawn George0.010,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.02-0.01-0.05871%0.095-0.081100%0.00
Tristan Vukcevic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02260%0.0000.001100%0.00
Justin Champagnie0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Will Riley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
AJ Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cam Whitmore-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01939%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Corey Kispert-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.00653%0.042-0.053100%0.02
Tre Johnson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.04-0.020.04762%0.011-0.032100%0.01
Khris Middleton-0.050,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.010.02650%-0.002-0.0400%0.00
Alex Sarr-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.10.02-0.010.111158%-0.023-0.082100%0.01
Bub Carrington-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.01525%-0.053-0.06250%-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.280.220.070.002067%0.2800.006100%0.03
Cason Wallace0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.080.04-0.02767%0.1400.004100%0.02
Isaiah Joe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.160.010.061277%0.1100.00250%0.00
Ajay Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.050.051556%0.0800.006100%0.02
Isaiah Hartenstein0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.020.021165%0.083-0.05475%-0.01
Jaylin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.040.04650%0.0200.00250%0.00
Luguentz Dort0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.00750%0.0100.0000%0.00
Branden Carlson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ousmane Dieng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Youngblood0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Wiggins0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.110.02-0.021131%-0.032-0.04450%-0.02
Alex Caruso0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.0050%-0.101-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.20.129.10.140.20.129.9125.7
league avg26.32.128.814.629.42.332.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +4.9%
OKC +4.0%
OKC +3.2%
OKC +39.1%
WAS -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASOKCNBAWASOKCNBA
this game13.714.314.1105.9123.3113.7
season13.713.7108.2119.3
opponent14.514.2102.3122.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS12.714.013.814.513.7
OKC16.013.714.413.214.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tristan Vukcevic2626-0.19-0.310.130.14-11-8-314.513.50.9613.214.7-1.46
Will Riley2626-0.19-0.310.130.14-11-8-314.513.50.9613.214.7-1.46
AJ Johnson2626-0.19-0.310.130.14-11-8-314.513.50.9613.214.7-1.46
Khris Middleton5254-0.31-0.19-0.110.19-17-2-1513.613.9-0.2615.213.31.90
Justin Champagnie5153-0.31-0.19-0.120.07-13-6-714.213.30.9813.515.2-1.75
Marvin Bagley III7070-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.07-9-10113.414.6-1.1914.813.31.45
Cam Whitmore6968-0.37-0.13-0.240.01-13-6-713.514.3-0.8714.813.41.39
Alex Sarr7979-0.37-0.13-0.250.09-16-3-1313.713.9-0.2214.414.00.47
CJ McCollum7373-0.38-0.12-0.250.06-15-4-1113.714.0-0.3114.514.00.45
Corey Kispert7574-0.38-0.12-0.250.03-14-5-913.414.6-1.1514.713.31.36
Bilal Coulibaly6770-0.42-0.08-0.340.14-190-1913.813.70.1314.613.80.78
Kyshawn George8081-0.44-0.06-0.380.12-190-1913.713.9-0.1514.314.20.12
Bub Carrington8787-0.510.01-0.520.02-18-1-1713.713.9-0.1414.413.90.53
Tre Johnson102103-0.510.01-0.530.04-190-1913.70.013.7514.30.014.32

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Isaiah Joe1031020.51-0.010.53-0.041901914.30.014.3213.70.013.75
Alex Caruso88870.51-0.010.52-0.1422-32514.215.1-0.9513.614.3-0.69
Luguentz Dort77760.450.050.40-0.1621-22314.414.10.2713.813.70.12
Ajay Mitchell94950.450.050.400.04145914.314.10.2313.516.9-3.34
Chris Youngblood50500.350.150.19-0.211901914.514.20.3513.514.0-0.48
Cason Wallace62610.340.160.180.02118314.713.71.0613.913.50.35
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander77760.310.190.130.08811-314.713.21.4613.514.5-0.96
Jaylin Williams93930.310.190.12-0.04127514.513.01.4613.615.6-1.99
Isaiah Hartenstein64610.240.26-0.01-0.05109114.913.41.5113.614.0-0.43
Aaron Wiggins56540.200.30-0.10-0.09109115.213.31.9613.314.2-0.91
Branden Carlson26260.190.31-0.13-0.14118313.214.7-1.4614.513.50.96
Ousmane Dieng26260.190.31-0.13-0.14118313.214.7-1.4614.513.50.96


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.67,0.68,0.81,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 102, OKC 1110.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%
POR 107, BOS 1240.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.7%
SAS 94, SEA 1130.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,194.6%