NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	124		Excitement	6.8 [67]		MVP	Kelly Oubre Jr. (PHI): +21.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	136		Comeback	1.1 [144]		LVP	Tristan da Silva (ORL): -4.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Bane	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.15	0.05	0.00	17	67%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paolo Banchero	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.17	0.02	0.03	18	68%	0.21	2	-0.05	11	100%	0.06
Franz Wagner	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.16	0.01	0.01	12	71%	0.15	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Noah Penda	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jase Richardson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	7	67%	0.09	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.04
Anthony Black	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.03	10	52%	0.06	3	-0.08	7	43%	-0.02
Wendell Carter Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	11	40%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Tristan da Silva	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.17	0.04	-0.00	16	68%	0.22	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.18	0.03	0.04	32	58%	0.20	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.03
VJ Edgecombe	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.01	0.02	17	68%	0.17	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.00	8	64%	0.17	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	4	100%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	-0.00	5	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adem Bona	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	3	64%	0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Hunter Sallis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jabari Walker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	8	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.4	0.0	33.9	0.0	30.5	0.0	41.9	0.0
league avg	26.2	2.2	28.6	14.8	29.1	2.3	32.6	136.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +11.5%

PHI +7.9%

PHI +16.3%

PHI +13.8%

PHI +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	12.1	15.6	13.7	117.0	133.3	110.9
season	13.5	14.4		109.8	115.0
opponent	13.0	13.8		109.4	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	12.6	12.6	11.4	11.7	12.1
PHI	15.6	15.5	15.8	15.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan da Silva	66	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.10	-2	-10	8	11.7	12.6	-0.92	15.9	15.2	0.74
Goga Bitadze	70	65	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.10	-2	-10	8	12.0	12.2	-0.18	15.9	15.2	0.62
Tyus Jones	65	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-7	2	12.9	10.7	2.23	15.5	15.9	-0.39
Jase Richardson	27	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-7	2	11.7	12.2	-0.55	15.6	15.7	-0.08
Noah Penda	34	34	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	0	-12	14.8	10.8	4.00	15.7	15.6	0.10
Anthony Black	95	92	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	-1	-10	12.6	7.9	4.65	15.6	16.2	-0.62
Franz Wagner	106	102	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	0	-12	12.1	0.0	12.08	15.6	0.0	15.64
Paolo Banchero	94	91	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.02	-17	5	-22	12.6	8.1	4.50	15.5	16.5	-0.92
Desmond Bane	76	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.13	-14	2	-16	13.1	9.6	3.50	15.9	14.9	0.97
Jalen Suggs	86	82	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.10	-16	4	-20	12.4	10.5	1.88	15.3	16.8	-1.51
Wendell Carter Jr.	89	86	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.03	-21	9	-30	12.9	7.9	4.92	15.5	16.6	-1.17

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
VJ Edgecombe	100	103	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-2	16	15.4	25.0	-9.55	12.4	0.7	11.74
Adem Bona	69	72	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.07	15	-3	18	15.1	16.8	-1.79	12.3	11.6	0.72
Tyrese Maxey	102	106	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	0	12	15.6	0.0	15.64	12.1	0.0	12.08
Kelly Oubre Jr.	98	102	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	0	12	15.7	15.0	0.66	12.1	11.5	0.60
Justin Edwards	73	77	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	6	0	15.7	15.6	0.07	12.0	12.2	-0.13
Hunter Sallis	25	24	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	3	6	15.6	15.6	-0.05	12.4	12.0	0.39
Quentin Grimes	74	79	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	9	-6	16.1	14.5	1.52	12.4	11.0	1.39
Andre Drummond	90	93	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	10	-8	15.8	14.2	1.57	12.0	12.5	-0.53
Jabari Walker	37	39	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.02	6	6	0	14.7	16.2	-1.51	12.9	11.6	1.34
Eric Gordon	61	61	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	13	-14	16.0	15.1	0.90	11.7	12.6	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.89,0.86,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.79,0.66,0.67,0.81,0.84,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 89, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.84,0.98,1,1	94.1%
CHI 101, BOS 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.85,0.98,1,1	93.8%
PHI 84, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.9,1,1,1	93.7%