NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	124		Excitement	6.8 [289]		MVP	Kelly Oubre Jr. (PHI): +21.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	136		Comeback	1.1 [238]		LVP	Tristan da Silva (ORL): -4.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Bane	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.15	0.05	0.00	17	67%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paolo Banchero	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.17	0.02	0.03	18	68%	0.21	2	-0.05	11	100%	0.06
Franz Wagner	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.16	0.01	0.01	12	71%	0.15	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Noah Penda	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jase Richardson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	7	67%	0.09	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.04
Anthony Black	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.03	10	52%	0.06	3	-0.08	7	43%	-0.02
Wendell Carter Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	11	40%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Tristan da Silva	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.17	0.04	-0.00	16	68%	0.22	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.18	0.03	0.04	32	58%	0.20	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.03
VJ Edgecombe	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.01	0.02	17	68%	0.17	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.00	8	64%	0.17	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	4	100%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	-0.00	5	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adem Bona	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	3	64%	0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Hunter Sallis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jabari Walker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	8	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.4	0.0	33.9	0.0	30.5	0.0	41.9	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +11.5%

PHI +7.9%

PHI +16.3%

PHI +13.8%

PHI +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	12.6	16.2	14.2	124.0	136.0	113.4
season	14.1	14.6		112.9	113.8
opponent	13.9	14.1		112.9	112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.6	12.6	12.0	12.1	12.6
PHI	15.6	15.5	18.0	15.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan da Silva	61	59	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.10	-2	-10	8	12.3	13.0	-0.63	16.8	15.2	1.64
Goga Bitadze	65	63	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.10	-2	-10	8	12.6	12.5	0.07	16.7	15.2	1.46
Tyus Jones	61	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-7	2	13.4	11.3	2.19	16.3	15.9	0.48
Jase Richardson	26	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-7	2	12.1	12.8	-0.64	15.6	16.4	-0.79
Noah Penda	33	34	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	0	-12	15.2	11.3	3.96	15.7	16.4	-0.69
Anthony Black	90	90	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	-1	-10	13.0	8.7	4.32	16.2	16.2	-0.04
Franz Wagner	100	100	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	0	-12	12.6	0.0	12.59	16.2	0.0	16.16
Paolo Banchero	89	89	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.02	-17	5	-22	13.1	8.8	4.24	16.1	16.5	-0.33
Desmond Bane	72	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.13	-14	2	-16	13.5	10.2	3.25	16.6	14.9	1.69
Jalen Suggs	81	81	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.10	-16	4	-20	12.9	11.1	1.83	15.8	17.7	-1.95
Wendell Carter Jr.	85	84	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.03	-21	9	-30	13.2	9.0	4.22	16.1	16.6	-0.55

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
VJ Edgecombe	98	98	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-2	16	16.0	25.0	-9.02	12.8	1.0	11.83
Adem Bona	67	68	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.07	15	-3	18	15.8	16.8	-1.03	12.7	12.3	0.41
Tyrese Maxey	100	100	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	0	12	16.2	0.0	16.16	12.6	0.0	12.59
Kelly Oubre Jr.	96	96	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	0	12	16.2	15.0	1.21	12.6	11.5	1.14
Justin Edwards	71	72	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	6	0	16.4	15.6	0.81	12.6	12.6	-0.02
Hunter Sallis	25	24	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	3	6	15.6	16.3	-0.75	12.4	12.7	-0.28
Quentin Grimes	72	73	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	9	-6	16.8	14.5	2.26	13.2	11.0	2.13
Andre Drummond	88	87	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	10	-8	16.4	14.2	2.17	12.6	12.5	0.06
Jabari Walker	36	36	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.02	6	6	0	15.7	16.4	-0.77	13.4	12.1	1.29
Eric Gordon	59	57	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	13	-14	16.9	15.1	1.80	12.1	13.2	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.89,0.86,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.79,0.66,0.67,0.81,0.84,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 89, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.84,0.98,1,1	94.1%
CHI 101, BOS 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.85,0.98,1,1	93.8%
PHI 84, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.9,1,1,1	93.7%