inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Philadelphia 76ers 84 Excitement5.9 [639] MVPKyrie Irving (CLE): +19.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers 97 Comeback1.0 [1299] LVPKJ McDaniels (PHI): -19.1%


Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Robert Covington0.180,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.070.11-0.001362%0.232-0.05367%0.01
Jerami Grant0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.110.010.02786%0.163-0.07771%-0.02
Hollis Thompson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.04-0.00-0.02762%0.061-0.012100%0.01
JaKarr Sampson0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.02-0.025100%0.113-0.0700%0.00
Henry Sims-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.001446%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Larry Drew-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05-0.120.02-0.06729%0.004-0.0500%0.00
Nerlens Noel-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.02540%0.033-0.0900%0.00
Michael Carter-Williams-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.13-0.01-0.02911%-0.091-0.0100%0.00
KJ McDaniels-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.12-0.070.00719%-0.122-0.07250%-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyrie Irving0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.050.13-0.021667%0.295-0.10475%0.00
Iman Shumpert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.100.010.014110%0.121-0.02250%-0.01
Matthew Dellavedova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.060.03775%0.132-0.06250%0.00
Tristan Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.02-0.03430%0.0200.00250%-0.01
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.001060%0.052-0.0300%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00-0.00150%0.0000.0020%-0.02
Joe Harris00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.001142%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Kevin Love0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.02731%-0.021-0.042100%0.01
LeBron James0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.12-0.03-0.031745%0.006-0.12683%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.62.029.215.424.62.332.3132.4
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +26.9%
PHI -4.6%
CLE +20.8%
CLE +5.3%
CLE +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHICLENBAPHICLENBA
this game14.815.715.190.3101.0104.2
season14.915.994.3108.7
opponent14.914.8104.1103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
PHI14.417.413.214.614.8
CLE14.414.715.018.815.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
JaKarr Sampson35360.05-0.550.60-0.012-151713.515.6-2.0316.215.30.86
Henry Sims21220.02-0.520.54-0.073-161914.814.8-0.0615.415.7-0.32
Larry Drew4447-0.09-0.410.31-0.090-131315.214.50.6716.514.81.72
Jerami Grant4749-0.16-0.340.18-0.04-4-9515.614.01.6816.315.01.29
Hollis Thompson3938-0.22-0.280.060.04-9-4-515.614.21.4414.716.3-1.65
KJ McDaniels4446-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.18-5-8315.314.30.9716.215.11.08
Michael Carter-Williams4343-0.37-0.13-0.240.04-141-1514.015.5-1.4113.917.1-3.25
Nerlens Noel6466-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.14-9-4-515.114.11.0715.416.2-0.84
Luc Mbah a Moute6164-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.07-130-1314.515.3-0.7715.615.7-0.09
Robert Covington6769-0.540.04-0.59-0.07-163-1914.316.2-1.9816.014.81.17

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Love67660.77-0.271.040.0126-133915.416.2-0.7414.515.6-1.16
Kyrie Irving80770.70-0.200.900.0522-93115.417.1-1.7614.914.40.45
LeBron James70700.60-0.100.700.0419-62515.815.30.5315.114.01.07
Tristan Thompson40370.300.200.090.00103717.214.62.6016.014.01.98
J.R. Smith54540.210.29-0.080.0658-314.517.1-2.6414.215.6-1.39
Timofey Mozgov56560.200.30-0.090.12310-714.617.2-2.6014.016.0-1.98
Matthew Dellavedova42390.080.42-0.340.14-215-1717.514.23.2814.814.8-0.02
Mike Miller1090.050.45-0.400.05013-1314.315.8-1.5117.714.53.17
Joe Harris210.000.50-0.500.00013-1317.515.61.887.014.9-7.89
Iman Shumpert4340-0.110.61-0.720.10-720-2715.915.50.4115.114.60.56
Shawn Marion1616-0.290.79-1.090.03-1124-3516.515.51.0114.714.8-0.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.9,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 95, IND 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.93,1,1,195.1%
UTA 95, SAC 970.5,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.98,0.96,194.4%
DET 91, CHI 1020.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.71,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.99,193.9%