NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	110		Excitement	7.9 [214]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (IND): +25.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	114		Comeback	2.0 [586]		LVP	Ben Sheppard (IND): -18.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26	0.10	0.15	-0.01	24	55%	0.29	2	-0.04	12	67%	-0.02
Tony Bradley	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.03	0.01	7	86%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RayJ Dennis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	9	67%	0.13	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	17	49%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Obi Toppin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	6	56%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Quenton Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	60%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jay Huff	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	8	31%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	0.01	9	27%	-0.10	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.05

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.07	0.02	18	67%	0.25	3	-0.05	10	80%	-0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	13	55%	0.16	1	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.04	0.01	7	67%	0.12	1	-0.03	7	29%	-0.09
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.07	-0.00	12	57%	0.16	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Jaylen Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Shannon Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.04	0.00	13	34%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	55%	0.00	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Bones Hyland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	0.0	30.6	0.0	35.8	0.0	40.5	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +25.6%

MIN +6.8%

MIN +6.3%

MIN +9.6%

MIN +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIN	NBA	IND	MIN	NBA
this game	13.7	14.2	14.2	106.8	110.7	113.5
season	13.9	13.9		107.4	115.5
opponent	14.1	14.1		111.6	115.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.3	14.2	15.2	13.3	13.7
MIN	15.8	12.0	14.2	15.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Obi Toppin	70	71	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-1	-2	13.8	13.6	0.21	14.2	14.1	0.18
Tony Bradley	85	84	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-8	12	14.0	12.4	1.65	14.4	13.3	1.07
Aaron Nesmith	85	86	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.26	2	-6	8	13.9	12.9	1.04	14.1	14.8	-0.77
Quenton Jackson	54	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	5	-14	13.5	14.0	-0.44	15.1	13.2	1.83
Jay Huff	41	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	5	-14	14.6	13.2	1.43	14.8	13.8	1.01
Ben Sheppard	93	93	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.38	-5	1	-6	14.2	9.6	4.59	14.1	15.4	-1.35
Pascal Siakam	93	93	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.38	-5	1	-6	14.2	9.6	4.59	14.1	15.4	-1.35
Isaiah Jackson	62	62	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.02	-20	16	-36	15.5	11.0	4.52	13.5	15.2	-1.76
RayJ Dennis	87	85	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.29	-11	7	-18	13.8	13.6	0.15	14.7	11.7	2.98
Jarace Walker	95	95	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.33	-10	6	-16	13.9	12.5	1.35	14.2	13.6	0.61

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylen Clark	84	86	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.23	13	-9	22	14.9	11.1	3.78	13.8	13.4	0.47
Donte DiVincenzo	93	93	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	-1	6	14.1	15.4	-1.35	14.2	9.6	4.59
Rudy Gobert	102	102	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.38	4	0	4	14.3	0.0	14.32	13.8	9.0	4.79
Naz Reid	89	90	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	-3	10	14.7	11.1	3.52	13.7	13.8	-0.11
Bones Hyland	77	77	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.03	12	-8	20	14.2	14.2	-0.06	15.1	9.7	5.42
Jaden McDaniels	83	84	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	1	2	14.6	12.3	2.28	14.2	11.6	2.66
Julius Randle	89	90	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	6	-8	14.2	14.3	-0.12	14.1	11.5	2.53
Mike Conley	93	92	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.29	-4	8	-12	14.3	12.8	1.53	13.6	15.2	-1.61
Joe Ingles	24	25	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.24	-3	7	-10	15.6	13.8	1.82	13.5	13.8	-0.35
Anthony Edwards	7	7	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.12	8	-4	12	12.4	14.3	-1.88	16.6	13.5	3.03
Terrence Shannon Jr.	54	52	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	6	-8	13.8	14.6	-0.78	13.3	14.2	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.89,0.94,0.87,0.81,0.96,0.97,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 88, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.97,0.97,1,1	93.6%
MIA 82, NOH 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.57,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.3%
IND 109, DEN 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.75,0.54,0.55,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.1%