NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	115		Excitement	9.5 [39]		MVP	Kevin Durant (HOU): +52.8%
Houston Rockets	111		Comeback	2.4 [84]		LVP	Alperen Sengun (HOU): -26.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Duncan Robinson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.05	0.02	9	81%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Paul Reed	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16	0.03	0.12	0.00	10	65%	0.23	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.11	0.04	0.03	-0.04	16	56%	0.11	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Daniss Jenkins	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	0.00	3	62%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronald Holland II	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	0.00	7	61%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Jalen Duren	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.01	6	47%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Chaz Lanier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	12	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	4	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Cade Cunningham	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	16	57%	0.17	8	-0.28	5	80%	0.04

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.33,0.32,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53	0.53	0.25	0.29	0.01	18	69%	0.53	0	0.00	18	89%	0.10
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	0.00	4	83%	0.14	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	4	92%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tari Eason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reed Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	11	41%	0.05	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	8	38%	-0.04	2	-0.07	10	60%	-0.01
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.09,-0.16,-0.26	-0.26	-0.07	-0.18	0.00	14	37%	-0.19	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.26	-0.26	-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	18	37%	-0.18	3	-0.09	10	70%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	37.8	0.1	37.3	11.8	35.4	1.3	38.9	162.5
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +73.9%

HOU -32.7%

DET +14.0%

HOU -4.6%

HOU -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	HOU	NBA	DET	HOU	NBA
this game	14.2	13.8	14.1	111.7	108.8	113.7
season	14.1	15.2		116.0	119.9
opponent	13.8	14.0		109.7	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.0	14.2	13.8	16.1	14.2
HOU	14.6	12.0	13.9	15.2	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Duncan Robinson	94	93	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.26	14	-10	24	14.3	12.8	1.56	14.3	9.6	4.70
Ausar Thompson	102	102	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.35	6	-2	8	14.3	1.0	13.33	13.8	0.0	13.84
Paul Reed	76	76	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.36	5	-1	6	14.6	13.0	1.68	13.7	14.2	-0.52
Tobias Harris	103	102	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	14.2	0.0	14.20	13.8	0.0	13.84
Javonte Green	93	90	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.39	-2	6	-8	14.2	14.4	-0.22	14.1	12.1	1.99
Cade Cunningham	97	96	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.31	-1	5	-6	14.8	4.0	10.84	13.8	15.0	-1.23
Daniss Jenkins	31	32	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	-4	12	14.6	14.0	0.63	13.4	14.0	-0.64
Chaz Lanier	78	76	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.27	-5	9	-14	14.6	13.0	1.59	14.5	11.8	2.68
Jalen Duren	41	40	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	0	4	13.2	14.9	-1.64	13.8	13.8	0.01
Isaiah Stewart	70	68	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	10	-16	14.7	13.1	1.68	14.1	13.3	0.82
Ronald Holland II	42	41	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.01	-5	9	-14	14.9	13.7	1.18	15.2	12.9	2.26

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	23	25	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.00	2	-6	8	15.0	13.5	1.44	13.8	14.3	-0.59
Josh Okogie	60	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.32	2	-6	8	14.2	13.3	0.87	14.9	13.2	1.67
Amen Thompson	89	90	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-2	0	14.0	13.1	0.88	14.5	12.0	2.52
Steven Adams	98	99	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	0	-4	13.9	11.7	2.18	14.6	4.0	10.62
Alperen Sengun	89	92	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-2	0	14.1	12.0	2.11	14.8	9.5	5.22
Kevin Durant	99	101	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	-1	-2	14.0	8.7	5.33	14.4	3.0	11.43
Jabari Smith Jr.	102	103	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	13.8	0.0	13.84	14.2	0.0	14.20
Tari Eason	93	94	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.33	-6	2	-8	14.1	11.2	2.87	14.2	14.7	-0.51
Reed Sheppard	101	102	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.34	-6	2	-8	13.9	5.0	8.93	14.3	1.0	13.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.37,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.65,0.7,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.41,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.1,0.33,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 90, IND 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.65,0.47,0.31,0.21,0.33,0.15,0	92.9%
UTA 109, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.24,0.11,0.15,0.01,0	92.2%
SAC 110, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.15,0.16,0	91.9%