NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	90		Excitement	7.5 [301]		MVP	Chris Mullin (IND): +19.4%
Indiana Pacers	84		Comeback	1.9 [505]		LVP	Reggie Miller (IND): -28.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	0.00	15	53%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Michael Jordan	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0.12,0.11	0.02	0.10	0.00	28	54%	0.17	2	-0.06	9	67%	0.00
Ron Harper	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.04	0.01	9	71%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.11
Joe Kleine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.08	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	14	44%	-0.01	3	-0.10	6	67%	0.00
Steve Kerr	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.07	0.01	11	82%	0.23	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.03	0.01	7	78%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.06	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	7	14%	-0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.2,-0.27,-0.28	-0.28	-0.08	-0.20	0.00	14	42%	-0.21	2	-0.08	5	80%	-0.05
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.29	-0.29	-0.06	-0.22	0.00	14	39%	-0.16	1	-0.13	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.6	24.4	17.6	23.3	2.7	32.3	127.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +41.2%

CHI +1.1%

CHI +17.3%

IND -10.1%

CHI +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	NBA	CHI	IND	NBA
this game	18.8	17.0	15.6	112.5	103.7	102.5
season	16.2	16.0		105.8	105.3
opponent	16.1	15.8		99.2	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	18.1	19.0	18.6	19.6	18.8
IND	17.0	17.9	15.7	17.4	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	69	71	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.27	9	-3	12	19.0	17.5	1.45	16.9	17.4	-0.47
Toni Kukoc	66	68	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.27	8	-2	10	18.3	21.1	-2.75	16.9	17.3	-0.38
Dennis Rodman	80	81	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	18.8	0.0	18.80	17.0	0.0	16.99
Scottie Pippen	70	71	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.35	5	1	4	18.2	23.3	-5.14	16.2	22.9	-6.75
Ron Harper	68	67	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.32	2	4	-2	18.6	20.2	-1.61	16.5	19.4	-2.95
Steve Kerr	31	31	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	4	-2	19.8	18.1	1.70	18.9	15.8	3.05
Joe Kleine	2	2	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.02	2	4	-2	17.5	18.8	-1.33	19.5	16.9	2.58
Dickey Simpkins	5	4	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	5	-4	26.2	18.3	7.89	20.2	16.8	3.43
Scott Burrell	6	7	-0.04	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	7	-8	22.7	18.5	4.18	19.9	16.7	3.14
Bill Wennington	3	3	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	10	-14	15.3	18.9	-3.60	18.7	16.9	1.74

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	9	9	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.03	3	-9	12	19.2	16.7	2.51	21.3	18.5	2.85
Jalen Rose	17	18	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-8	10	20.3	16.1	4.18	20.9	18.2	2.77
Dale Davis	30	30	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.00	1	-7	8	17.3	16.8	0.50	18.9	18.7	0.21
Travis Best	18	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-4	2	19.8	16.2	3.66	19.5	18.6	0.95
Derrick McKey	44	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-1	-4	17.1	16.9	0.18	19.1	18.4	0.73
Chris Mullin	44	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-4	2	16.2	18.0	-1.81	18.5	19.1	-0.62
Mark Jackson	63	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-2	-2	16.2	19.8	-3.66	18.6	19.5	-0.95
Reggie Miller	65	63	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.26	-8	2	-10	16.7	18.2	-1.50	18.5	19.9	-1.45
Antonio Davis	51	50	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.33	-7	1	-8	16.8	17.3	-0.50	18.7	18.9	-0.21
Rik Smits	64	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.30	-8	2	-10	16.6	18.4	-1.80	18.1	21.4	-3.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.65,0.47,0.31,0.21,0.33,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 109, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.24,0.11,0.15,0.01,0	93.2%
BOS 85, POR 81	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.51,0.47,0.26,0.16,0.16,0.31,0	92.1%
NOH 92, MIL 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.59,0.47,0.38,0.15,0.15,0.1,0	91.9%