NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	131		Excitement	5.0 [508]		MVP	Ziaire Williams (BKN): +21.9%
Brooklyn Nets	124		Comeback	1.0 [680]		LVP	Nic Claxton (BKN): -15.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Allen	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.05	0.01	11	71%	0.17	2	-0.02	9	67%	-0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.25	-0.03	0.09	15	83%	0.20	3	-0.06	12	75%	-0.03
Craig Porter Jr.	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.16	0.00	0.04	6	117%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylon Tyson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	4	100%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.12	-0.02	0.05	11	85%	0.10	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	47%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Evan Mobley	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	12	46%	0.06	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Lonzo Ball	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	4	20%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tyrese Proctor	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.05	0.03	7	40%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22	0.22	0.26	0.01	0.05	13	93%	0.22	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Michael Porter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.18	-0.01	0.11	22	70%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Egor D�min	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.06	0.04	5	90%	0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Cam Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	0.14	-0.06	0.07	23	63%	0.09	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Tyrese Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Saraf	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Clowney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.00	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	14	36%	-0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	0.0	32.7	0.0	26.1	0.0	40.1	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +21.6%

CLE +1.2%

CLE +7.4%

CLE +17.6%

CLE +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BKN	NBA	CLE	BKN	NBA
this game	12.5	14.8	14.2	123.6	118.1	113.5
season	13.5	14.9		116.0	109.1
opponent	14.3	14.5		116.4	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	10.6	12.3	12.0	15.1	12.5
BKN	15.0	16.0	16.3	12.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Mobley	99	98	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.16	15	-8	23	12.6	10.6	2.02	14.9	13.3	1.64
Dean Wade	99	98	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.20	12	-5	17	12.6	10.7	1.87	14.9	13.1	1.80
Lonzo Ball	98	96	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.30	7	0	7	12.8	7.7	5.10	15.6	6.9	8.67
Donovan Mitchell	106	105	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	12.5	0.0	12.46	14.8	0.0	14.82
Jarrett Allen	105	103	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	2	3	12.6	2.0	10.56	15.1	2.5	12.56
Craig Porter Jr.	62	62	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	-12	31	12.0	13.1	-1.07	15.8	13.4	2.33
Sam Merrill	86	85	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.46	-3	10	-13	12.6	11.7	0.94	14.3	16.9	-2.63
Tyrese Proctor	51	51	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.21	1	6	-5	12.4	12.5	-0.14	14.4	15.2	-0.83
Jaylon Tyson	69	69	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	5	-3	12.3	12.8	-0.45	14.9	14.7	0.11
Larry Nance Jr.	45	45	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.43	-9	16	-25	14.2	11.2	2.98	14.1	15.3	-1.24

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Day'Ron Sharpe	67	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	1	-9	14.6	15.2	-0.61	12.0	13.2	-1.13
Tyrese Martin	53	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	5	-17	15.5	14.1	1.36	11.4	13.6	-2.15
Terance Mann	85	86	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.46	3	-10	13	14.3	16.9	-2.63	12.6	11.7	0.94
Michael Porter Jr.	88	87	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.40	0	-7	7	14.8	15.0	-0.22	12.6	11.7	0.88
Ben Saraf	49	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	10	-27	16.2	13.6	2.60	11.6	13.2	-1.59
Noah Clowney	91	93	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	3	-13	14.9	14.5	0.37	11.9	16.5	-4.56
Cam Thomas	96	96	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.30	-5	-2	-3	14.9	14.3	0.53	12.5	11.7	0.84
Nic Claxton	96	96	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	-2	-3	14.8	14.6	0.29	12.6	10.7	1.95
Ziaire Williams	105	106	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	14.8	0.0	14.82	12.5	0.0	12.46
Egor D�min	85	87	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	3	-13	15.2	13.3	1.81	12.7	11.4	1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.25,0.21,0.09,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 110, GSW 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.15,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.02,0.04,0	95.2%
CHI 112, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.15,0.27,0.31,0.11,0.06,0.04,0	94.8%
MIL 102, NYK 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.25,0.21,0.05,0.01,0	94.6%