NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	112		Excitement	6.9 [303]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (LAC): +32.9%
LA Clippers	107		Comeback	10.0 [42]		LVP	Kris Dunn (LAC): -11.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.16	0.16	0.01	13	80%	0.37	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Santi Aldama	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.04	0.01	7	72%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jock Landale	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	11	46%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Zach Edey	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jaylen Wells	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	7	59%	0.03	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.02
Cam Spencer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	9	56%	0.14	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.05	0.01	10	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Williams Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	17	47%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Coward	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	10	35%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.33	0.33	0.27	0.16	0.10	24	72%	0.35	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Kobe Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	18	53%	0.10	5	-0.11	7	100%	0.05
Kobe Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	12	38%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	11	39%	0.00	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.00	-0.10	0.02	9	55%	-0.00	2	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	0.0	31.4	0.0	27.9	0.0	31.0	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +43.2%

LAC -9.2%

MEM +15.7%

MEM +0.7%

LAC -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAC	NBA	MEM	LAC	NBA
this game	13.9	14.9	14.2	109.8	109.2	113.5
season	13.8	15.3		112.3	114.4
opponent	14.2	14.3		114.3	114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.1	12.9	12.3	14.9	13.9
LAC	12.4	15.4	19.0	13.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cam Spencer	88	85	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.31	10	-5	15	13.9	13.9	-0.08	15.3	12.5	2.76
Jaylen Wells	95	91	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-5	15	14.1	10.4	3.69	15.5	8.1	7.31
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	82	78	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-6	17	13.5	15.3	-1.79	15.6	12.2	3.43
Jock Landale	82	79	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.26	9	-4	13	13.5	15.3	-1.79	15.5	12.5	3.05
Jaren Jackson Jr.	102	98	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	13.9	0.0	13.86	14.9	0.0	14.93
Santi Aldama	96	92	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.41	2	3	-1	13.9	13.2	0.74	14.7	18.5	-3.80
Cedric Coward	82	79	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.32	1	4	-3	14.6	10.9	3.62	14.8	15.3	-0.48
Zach Edey	83	81	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.38	-2	7	-9	14.5	10.9	3.58	14.8	15.8	-1.01
John Konchar	49	47	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.14	11	-6	17	12.7	14.9	-2.25	16.5	13.5	3.00
Vince Williams Jr.	72	68	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.00	-11	16	-27	14.3	12.8	1.51	14.6	15.6	-1.02

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Brown	78	82	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-3	1	15.5	12.7	2.74	13.5	15.1	-1.60
Kobe Sanders	61	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.19	-1	-4	3	15.0	14.8	0.28	13.7	14.2	-0.47
Chris Paul	60	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	6	-17	15.5	13.9	1.60	13.8	14.0	-0.27
James Harden	98	102	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	14.9	0.0	14.93	13.9	0.0	13.86
Kawhi Leonard	67	68	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	-1	-3	14.5	15.8	-1.33	14.2	13.2	1.03
John Collins	81	85	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.34	-6	1	-7	14.8	15.4	-0.51	14.2	12.2	2.02
Ivica Zubac	79	84	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.30	-9	4	-13	15.5	12.5	2.98	13.8	14.2	-0.44
Nicolas Batum	85	88	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.36	-9	4	-13	15.0	14.7	0.27	13.9	13.7	0.17
Kris Dunn	81	86	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.31	-12	7	-19	15.5	12.1	3.40	13.8	14.2	-0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.63,0.75,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.58,0.41,0.46,0.22,0.1,0.08,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 102, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.2,0.17,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,0	92.3%
GSW 119, POR 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.82,0.66,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.57,0.53,0.41,0.24,0.18,0.07,0.16,0.04,0.04,0	92.1%
PHX 123, SAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.26,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	91.8%