NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	116		Excitement	1.9 [459]		MVP	Brandon Miller (CHA): +24.4%
Charlotte Hornets	123		Comeback	2.1 [405]		LVP	LaMelo Ball (CHA): -12.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Coby White	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.02	23	51%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Josh Giddey	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.16	-0.02	0.05	16	64%	0.09	0	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Tre Jones	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	9	73%	0.16	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Nikola Vu?evi?	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	11	59%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	8	61%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jevon Carter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	31%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	8	40%	-0.05	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.16	0.11	0.02	19	66%	0.27	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.1,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.03	0.16	0.01	17	55%	0.25	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Sion James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.03	0.01	15	62%	0.17	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Kon Knueppel	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.04	-0.05	14	43%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kalkbrenner	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	87%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Liam McNeeley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Moussa Diabat�	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	19	40%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.3	32.4	0.0	27.1	0.0	35.1	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +43.6%

CHA +7.4%

CHA +12.0%

CHI -14.0%

CHA +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHA	NBA	CHI	CHA	NBA
this game	12.6	14.2	14.2	107.4	115.0	113.4
season	13.5	15.1		111.4	116.9
opponent	14.1	14.2		112.6	116.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.1	12.5	12.1	13.9	12.6
CHA	13.9	13.8	13.6	15.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Phillips	8	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-3	-1	11.2	12.7	-1.45	9.3	14.5	-5.12
Patrick Williams	88	87	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-3	-1	12.5	13.0	-0.56	13.6	16.7	-3.11
Kevin Huerter	69	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-10	3	-13	13.0	11.9	1.13	14.3	14.0	0.23
Tre Jones	107	105	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-3	-1	12.6	16.0	-3.44	14.2	13.5	0.68
Josh Giddey	93	90	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-3	-1	12.7	12.2	0.46	14.5	12.6	1.81
Coby White	93	91	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.28	-6	-1	-5	12.7	11.7	1.00	14.2	13.7	0.49
Nikola Vu?evi?	87	85	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.36	-4	-3	-1	12.5	12.9	-0.39	14.4	13.4	0.96
Matas Buzelis	86	84	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	-3	-1	12.6	12.4	0.23	14.2	13.9	0.38
Ayo Dosunmu	80	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.05	-16	9	-25	12.9	11.7	1.14	13.8	15.2	-1.37
Jalen Smith	64	62	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.08	-16	9	-25	12.7	12.5	0.16	13.4	15.3	-1.90
Jevon Carter	42	42	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.11	-15	8	-23	13.2	12.2	0.94	14.4	14.0	0.43

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kon Knueppel	74	77	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.41	8	-1	9	14.2	14.1	0.16	13.1	11.4	1.69
Brandon Miller	107	108	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	14.2	0.0	14.17	12.6	0.0	12.59
Moussa Diabat�	107	108	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.28	7	0	7	14.2	0.0	14.17	12.6	0.0	12.59
Sion James	78	80	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	3	1	14.4	13.6	0.85	12.8	11.9	0.94
Collin Sexton	96	98	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.21	6	1	5	14.2	13.5	0.69	12.5	13.1	-0.56
Ryan Kalkbrenner	86	89	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.31	-1	8	-9	14.3	13.8	0.45	12.4	13.3	-0.88
Miles Bridges	93	96	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	9	-11	14.3	13.0	1.34	12.5	13.1	-0.55
LaMelo Ball	93	94	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	9	-11	14.5	12.0	2.49	12.5	13.1	-0.55
Liam McNeeley	18	18	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	11	-15	14.5	14.1	0.40	11.5	12.8	-1.31
Tre Mann	73	74	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	10	-13	13.7	15.1	-1.43	12.3	13.2	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.37,0.48,0.32,0.46,0.57,0.67,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.98,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.85,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 104, NYK 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,1	92.9%
MIA 84, PHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.4%
POR 73, MEM 86	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.48,0.42,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.66,0.72,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.3%