inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 104 Excitement8.4 [93] MVPReed Sheppard (HOU): +21.3%
Golden State Warriors 100 Comeback6.9 [48] LVPStephen Curry (GSW): -39.2%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reed Sheppard0.210,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.210.090.150.032557%0.252-0.04475%0.01
Jae'Sean Tate0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.040.002125%0.1000.0000%0.00
JD Davison0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.050.002100%0.0900.0000%0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.05-0.050.021152%-0.0200.00771%-0.02
Clint Capela-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00837%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Amen Thompson-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.01-0.001238%-0.012-0.042100%0.04
Alperen Sengun-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.021839%-0.041-0.03540%-0.01
Aaron Holiday-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.011639%0.042-0.12475%-0.00
Josh Okogie-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.02-0.00525%-0.043-0.0820%-0.03

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Will Richard0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.120.080.021269%0.1800.002100%0.01
Jimmy Butler III0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.170.170.160.030.021172%0.1700.007100%0.06
Quinten Post0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.030.001150%0.0500.00250%-0.01
Brandin Podziemski0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.040.040.020.02-0.011158%0.082-0.0420%-0.11
Draymond Green0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.02-0.00875%0.084-0.0800%0.00
Pat Spencer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Gary Payton II0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Moses Moody0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05-0.050.01-0.040.01845%-0.0500.004100%0.01
Buddy Hield0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.04-0.0040%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Gui Santos0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.07-0.050.0020%-0.052-0.0800%0.00
Stephen Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.35,-0.4,-0.39-0.39-0.13-0.27-0.001347%-0.087-0.314100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.43.228.414.330.10.043.10.0
league avg26.32.128.814.629.42.332.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +8.0%
HOU +0.5%
HOU +20.1%
HOU +20.9%
HOU +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUGSWNBAHOUGSWNBA
this game15.615.714.1111.8109.9113.7
season15.214.7119.9112.4
opponent13.613.8110.7109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU15.916.415.714.515.6
GSW16.815.617.013.815.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Holiday78780.74-0.240.990.3613-92215.615.40.2015.516.8-1.23
Amen Thompson84840.62-0.120.740.369-51415.912.73.2115.913.92.01
Reed Sheppard90890.57-0.070.640.377-31015.517.0-1.4815.430.5-15.12
Jabari Smith Jr.89870.52-0.020.530.375-1615.420.0-4.6315.325.7-10.50
Josh Okogie86830.480.020.460.4513-215.614.90.7715.320.1-4.84
JD Davison55560.480.020.460.1013-92216.114.91.1916.714.12.55
Jae'Sean Tate51490.350.150.190.0510-61616.114.91.2617.213.93.32
Alperen Sengun80790.260.240.020.41-59-1415.814.21.5615.914.71.21
Clint Capela64640.070.43-0.36-0.0540416.313.92.4316.713.43.28

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gary Payton II27280.16-0.660.82-0.088-122014.416.3-1.9116.615.11.43
Draymond Green7980-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.415-91415.914.71.2115.814.21.56
Buddy Hield7173-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.07-73-1017.110.86.3016.113.82.25
Will Richard7274-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.404-81215.416.9-1.5615.715.00.72
Gui Santos2221-0.30-0.20-0.100.05-128-2017.015.31.7016.415.31.05
Pat Spencer1211-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.17-62-817.315.51.8616.315.50.80
Quinten Post8790-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.33-51-616.17.28.8516.02.014.02
Jimmy Butler III9193-0.500.00-0.50-0.38-40-415.70.015.7115.60.015.57
Stephen Curry8184-0.530.03-0.56-0.35-62-815.517.4-1.8916.110.95.18
Moses Moody8181-0.730.23-0.96-0.44-106-1615.219.5-4.2515.615.6-0.02
Brandin Podziemski8887-0.770.27-1.04-0.39-139-2215.813.02.8115.714.21.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.68,0.58,0.38,0.21,0.2,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.31,0.29,0.1,0.05,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 89, SEA 850.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.16,0.09,0.04,091.7%
MIN 110, LAL 1070.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.81,0.71,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.31,0.46,0.61,0.38,0.22,0.03,0.01,091.1%
DEN 106, SAS 990.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.09,0.07,090.9%