NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	89		Excitement	7.3 [347]		MVP	Arvydas Sabonis (POR): +17.1%
Seattle SuperSonics	85		Comeback	5.7 [106]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): -20.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arvydas Sabonis	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.12	-0.00	8	62%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	64%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Ruben Patterson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	4	62%	-0.00	1	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	15	42%	0.03	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.03
Derek Anderson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	12	32%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Scottie Pippen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21	-0.14	-0.07	0.00	13	44%	-0.10	4	-0.10	10	80%	-0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	14	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	11	64%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	23	46%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	12	54%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	8	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	14	34%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Ansu Sesay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	48.7	1.8	28.2	18.7	27.4	3.6	42.2	170.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +21.7%

POR +22.9%

POR +20.7%

SEA -17.8%

POR +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SEA	NBA	POR	SEA	NBA
this game	17.0	15.4	15.5	100.0	95.5	101.6
season	16.0	16.5		104.3	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.7		102.0	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.5	15.8	16.6	18.0	17.0
SEA	14.4	14.9	16.9	15.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff McInnis	48	49	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.32	13	-9	22	16.6	17.4	-0.79	16.3	14.3	1.94
Bonzi Wells	71	70	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.43	0	4	-4	17.0	16.7	0.38	15.0	17.0	-2.04
Arvydas Sabonis	26	28	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.21	7	-3	10	17.7	16.7	0.97	16.7	14.8	1.93
Ruben Patterson	36	35	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	-5	14	15.1	18.2	-3.16	15.3	15.4	-0.08
Zach Randolph	18	18	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.14	8	-4	12	17.0	17.0	0.04	16.9	15.0	1.87
Antonio Daniels	25	26	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	-5	14	17.4	16.8	0.60	15.8	15.2	0.53
Derek Anderson	65	65	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.29	-5	9	-14	16.9	17.2	-0.39	15.4	15.4	-0.03
Rasheed Wallace	71	71	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.24	-4	8	-12	17.0	17.0	-0.04	15.0	16.9	-1.87
Dale Davis	44	43	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.04	-8	12	-20	17.9	16.1	1.82	15.1	15.7	-0.63
Scottie Pippen	41	40	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.06	-9	13	-22	17.4	16.6	0.79	14.3	16.3	-1.94

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	28	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-4	4	15.5	15.4	0.10	17.6	16.6	1.01
Rashard Lewis	75	75	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.24	4	-8	12	14.6	19.6	-4.96	17.1	16.4	0.64
Ansu Sesay	12	11	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	1	-6	19.0	14.8	4.17	15.6	17.2	-1.52
Brent Barry	76	77	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.37	5	-9	14	14.7	19.4	-4.67	17.5	13.7	3.72
Predrag Drobnjak	63	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.29	1	-5	6	14.8	16.8	-1.94	17.7	15.2	2.51
Calvin Booth	17	16	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	3	-10	17.6	14.9	2.71	16.1	17.2	-1.03
Gary Payton	77	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-6	8	15.3	16.0	-0.70	17.0	16.5	0.50
Vladimir Radmanovic	45	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	5	-14	16.3	14.5	1.86	15.3	18.7	-3.35
Desmond Mason	52	51	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.36	-11	7	-18	16.0	14.6	1.37	16.7	17.3	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.16,0.09,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 79, BOS 74	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.09,0.04,0	93.0%
DEN 106, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.09,0.07,0	92.9%
PHI 84, MIA 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.76,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.33,0.39,0.16,0.06,0.04,0	92.1%