inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 95 Excitement8.9 [137] MVPBrandon Ingram (TOR): +24.9%
Toronto Raptors 97 Comeback3.4 [453] LVPPascal Siakam (IND): -22.1%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jay Huff0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.120.050.070.00659%0.1200.00580%-0.02
Ben Sheppard0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.02-0.00667%0.0700.0000%0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002125%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Garrison Mathews0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jarace Walker-0.000,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.020.00965%0.073-0.072100%0.01
Isaiah Jackson-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.00380%0.063-0.08450%-0.06
T.J. McConnell-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,0.07,-0.05-0.03-0.020.001747%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Bennedict Mathurin-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.08,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07-0.06-0.03-0.021547%0.174-0.24250%-0.02
Andrew Nembhard-0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.05-0.001035%-0.082-0.05667%-0.01
Pascal Siakam-0.220,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22-0.06-0.150.001046%-0.153-0.07425%-0.05

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Ingram0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,0.06,-0.11,0.250.250.010.250.012351%0.353-0.10560%-0.03
Ja'Kobe Walter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.080.06-0.001065%0.1400.0000%0.00
Scottie Barnes0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.050.090.021263%0.224-0.1014100%0.11
Sandro Mamukelashvili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.010.00841%0.0000.001100%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.01-0.00667%0.062-0.0600%0.00
Jamison Battle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.020.00250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Collin Murray-Boyles0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Gradey Dick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.000.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Ochai Agbaji0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.0020%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Jamal Shead0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.040.00420%-0.071-0.032100%0.01
Immanuel Quickley0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18-0.18-0.10-0.13-0.051935%-0.171-0.02540%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.60.030.40.031.10.029.00.0
league avg26.32.028.914.329.62.232.8136.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND -13.6%
TOR +23.4%
TOR +17.9%
TOR +20.4%
TOR +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDTORNBAINDTORNBA
this game13.614.914.294.196.0113.5
season13.914.0107.4112.8
opponent14.714.1111.1115.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND14.413.913.312.613.6
TOR13.713.315.517.414.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl68670.19-0.690.870.074-61013.513.6-0.0615.014.80.13
Ben Sheppard75740.14-0.640.77-0.108-101813.414.1-0.7415.114.40.64
Garrison Mathews2626-0.10-0.400.290.04-53-814.313.31.0013.315.5-2.21
Jarace Walker7474-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.05-75-1214.112.12.0314.216.7-2.50
T.J. McConnell8585-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.475-71213.315.2-1.9315.213.41.75
Isaiah Jackson7676-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.504-61013.414.1-0.7415.413.42.06
Jay Huff9898-0.510.01-0.53-0.43-31-413.78.05.7315.011.33.69
Pascal Siakam9091-0.570.07-0.64-0.42-53-814.09.84.2015.014.30.68
Andrew Nembhard8988-0.580.08-0.67-0.41-64-1013.811.81.9615.610.55.02
Bennedict Mathurin9695-0.610.11-0.72-0.40-75-1213.711.42.2815.210.74.51

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jakob Poeltl87870.68-0.180.860.3910-81815.113.61.4714.010.63.39
Ja'Kobe Walter94940.62-0.120.750.398-61415.111.73.4313.99.74.14
Immanuel Quickley91910.57-0.070.640.425-3815.014.30.6813.910.53.40
Brandon Ingram94950.55-0.050.600.405-3815.39.36.0413.711.72.02
Scottie Barnes1011010.500.000.500.4420214.90.014.9113.60.013.56
Collin Murray-Boyles32320.220.28-0.070.104-2615.014.90.1813.913.40.45
Gradey Dick2625-0.100.60-0.700.02-46-1013.715.3-1.6414.413.31.11
Ochai Agbaji1818-0.210.71-0.93-0.01-79-1614.715.0-0.2311.414.0-2.65
Jamison Battle5556-0.280.78-1.07-0.08-79-1615.014.80.1212.714.6-1.91
Sandro Mamukelashvili7676-0.300.80-1.11-0.04-911-2014.715.4-0.7013.314.5-1.22
Jamal Shead8383-0.480.98-1.47-0.07-1416-3014.715.8-1.0513.314.9-1.61


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.55,0.66,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.84,0.76,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.53,0.66,0.78,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 95, POR 990.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.15,0.33,0.46,0.72,0.86,0.73,188.9%
BOS 91, UTA 960.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.71,0.7,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.34,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.74,188.8%
HOU 103, UTA 1070.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.87,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.35,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.85,0.58,188.8%