NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	95		Excitement	8.8 [136]		MVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): +37.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	99		Comeback	7.1 [494]		LVP	Donyell Marshall (GSW): -24.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.02	-0.00	16	69%	0.22	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	11	48%	0.07	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.06
Adonal Foyle	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Sam Jacobson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Farmer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Caffey	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	8	62%	0.04	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.06	-0.01	15	48%	0.02	7	-0.21	3	67%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24	-0.07	-0.16	0.01	15	50%	-0.10	4	-0.14	6	100%	0.11

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.38	0.38	0.00	0.37	-0.01	12	67%	0.50	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.06	0.00	9	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.03	8	56%	0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	80%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,0	-0.00	-0.09	0.08	-0.01	13	56%	0.15	6	-0.15	8	87%	0.05
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.08,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.00	10	71%	0.10	3	-0.11	8	100%	0.04
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	10	56%	0.01	4	-0.12	5	100%	0.02
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	2	0%	-0.10	3	-0.10	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	28.2	15.7	25.1	2.4	42.5	141.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +59.6%

GSW -16.8%

GSW -24.4%

POR +28.6%

POR +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	POR	NBA	GSW	POR	NBA
this game	14.7	14.2	15.2	95.0	100.0	101.7
season	14.7	15.9		97.2	105.9
opponent	15.7	14.7		99.1	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.0	14.8	15.7	14.4	14.7
POR	13.6	14.0	13.1	16.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Jacobson	24	25	0.44	-0.94	1.39	0.09	12	-16	28	11.8	15.7	-3.87	13.7	14.4	-0.66
Erick Dampier	67	69	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-5	6	14.6	14.9	-0.31	14.3	13.9	0.40
Sam Mack	43	42	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-4	4	14.4	15.0	-0.59	15.6	13.2	2.36
Tony Farmer	24	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	1	-6	13.0	15.3	-2.33	14.4	14.1	0.29
Vonteego Cummings	68	68	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.26	3	-7	10	14.9	14.5	0.38	14.9	12.6	2.33
Adonal Foyle	31	28	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.37	-5	1	-6	15.4	14.4	0.95	14.8	14.0	0.85
Jason Caffey	81	81	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.35	-7	3	-10	15.4	11.9	3.50	14.4	13.2	1.28
Donyell Marshall	80	78	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.52	-7	3	-10	15.1	13.2	1.91	13.5	16.9	-3.42
Mookie Blaylock	82	81	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.52	-12	8	-20	15.0	13.6	1.43	13.1	19.1	-5.92

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	71	73	1.09	-0.59	1.69	0.60	17	-13	30	13.2	16.9	-3.69	15.1	13.7	1.36
Rasheed Wallace	73	76	0.95	-0.45	1.41	0.46	17	-13	30	13.4	16.5	-3.05	15.2	13.1	2.17
Scottie Pippen	74	75	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.56	10	-6	16	13.2	17.1	-3.89	15.1	13.7	1.35
Arvydas Sabonis	61	64	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.38	7	-3	10	14.2	14.2	0.05	15.5	13.3	2.27
Steven Smith	56	59	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.27	5	-1	6	13.8	14.8	-0.98	14.9	14.5	0.33
Jermaine O'Neal	12	12	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	4	-4	16.5	13.9	2.60	14.2	14.8	-0.55
Bonzi Wells	46	44	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.06	-5	9	-14	15.3	13.3	2.00	13.8	15.5	-1.71
Brian Grant	43	40	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.02	-5	9	-14	14.5	14.0	0.45	13.5	15.6	-2.09
Detlef Schrempf	29	28	-0.55	1.05	-1.61	-0.23	-11	15	-26	17.4	12.9	4.48	14.2	14.9	-0.67
Greg Anthony	30	29	-0.60	1.10	-1.69	-0.16	-15	19	-34	15.8	13.5	2.33	13.3	15.3	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.15,0.33,0.46,0.72,0.86,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, DEN 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.53,0.64,0.67,0.9,1	90.9%
PHI 80, PHX 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.66,0.52,0.37,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.53,0.64,0.77,0.84,1	90.6%
NOH 76, CLE 79	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.42,0.47,0.31,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.79,0.9,0.83,1	90.1%