NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	132		Excitement	1.6 [624]		MVP	Landry Shamet (NYK): +27.2%
New York Knicks	140		Comeback	1.7 [834]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIA): -9.6%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.29	0.02	0.13	22	75%	0.21	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Kel'el Ware	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.00	-0.00	8	71%	0.11	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Pelle Larsson	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	8	74%	0.15	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Dru Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	1	80%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Simone Fontecchio	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	20	48%	0.05	1	-0.04	8	50%	-0.02
Davion Mitchell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.04	6	69%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Keshad Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jovi?	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Wiggins	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	18	39%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.31	0.07	0.11	19	82%	0.30	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.15	0.08	-0.02	13	65%	0.25	0	0.00	11	82%	0.02
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.24	0.02	0.02	26	64%	0.24	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.05	-0.05	8	67%	0.12	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Miles McBride	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	10	43%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ariel Hukporti	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.02	-0.05	21	36%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	0.0	35.9	0.0	32.0	0.0	39.9	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +33.6%

MIA -0.5%

NYK +1.6%

NYK +14.0%

NYK +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NYK	NBA	MIA	NYK	NBA
this game	11.9	16.0	14.2	128.2	135.9	113.4
season	12.9	15.0		114.9	118.0
opponent	14.2	14.5		109.8	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	11.2	12.7	11.2	12.6	11.9
NYK	17.9	14.5	14.6	17.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Jovi?	67	67	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.08	8	-16	24	11.6	12.4	-0.77	16.4	15.3	1.07
Simone Fontecchio	65	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-6	4	11.7	12.3	-0.68	16.6	15.1	1.49
Dru Smith	66	65	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-3	-2	12.0	11.7	0.33	16.4	15.3	1.09
Keshad Johnson	56	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	1	-10	12.4	11.3	1.13	15.1	17.1	-2.01
Pelle Larsson	66	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	4	-16	12.3	11.2	1.17	16.9	14.5	2.41
Norman Powell	85	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.19	-8	0	-8	12.0	11.7	0.23	16.2	15.4	0.78
Davion Mitchell	86	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.19	-8	0	-8	11.9	12.1	-0.18	16.2	15.3	0.88
Andrew Wiggins	101	101	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	-2	-4	12.0	6.0	6.03	16.1	14.0	2.07
Kel'el Ware	92	92	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	-1	-6	12.2	9.2	3.06	16.3	13.5	2.78
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	103	103	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	11.9	0.0	11.91	16.0	0.0	16.03

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl-Anthony Towns	102	101	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.23	10	-2	12	16.2	1.0	15.18	12.0	9.0	2.97
Mikal Bridges	103	103	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	16.0	0.0	16.03	11.9	0.0	11.91
Jordan Clarkson	100	101	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	2	4	16.2	9.7	6.55	12.0	6.0	6.03
Landry Shamet	101	100	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.27	6	2	4	16.1	14.0	2.07	12.1	4.3	7.81
Josh Hart	94	93	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	1	6	15.9	17.3	-1.43	11.9	12.3	-0.43
Miles McBride	78	80	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	5	-2	17.5	11.6	5.90	11.7	12.5	-0.73
OG Anunoby	10	9	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	7	-6	20.5	15.5	4.95	12.1	11.9	0.22
Mitchell Robinson	70	71	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	11	-14	17.3	13.3	3.97	11.4	13.0	-1.58
Ariel Hukporti	24	24	-0.07	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	11	-14	18.6	15.2	3.38	11.2	12.1	-0.86
Guerschon Yabusele	38	39	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.06	-9	17	-26	15.0	16.6	-1.59	11.6	12.1	-0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.39,0.54,0.49,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.86,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 86, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%
NOH 86, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.5%
MIL 117, CLE 124	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%