NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	110		Excitement	1.7 [568]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +21.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	126		Comeback	1.9 [722]		LVP	Josh Giddey (CHI): -5.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matas Buzelis	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.01	-0.00	13	71%	0.16	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Patrick Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	6	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.02	0.07	10	65%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Dalen Terry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vu?evi?	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	13	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Huerter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	13	46%	0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Julian Phillips	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	14	50%	0.04	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.13	-0.00	32	55%	0.27	4	-0.06	11	73%	-0.03
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	6	79%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Rollins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.02	0.06	13	71%	0.14	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.14	-0.01	0.06	14	74%	0.12	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.03
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
AJ Green	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	8	37%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	14	39%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	9	28%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	0.0	24.4	0.0	29.3	0.0	31.8	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +17.8%

MIL +2.8%

MIL +19.9%

MIL +10.0%

CHI -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIL	NBA	CHI	MIL	NBA
this game	12.7	14.4	14.2	103.8	118.9	113.4
season	13.5	14.7		111.4	110.9
opponent	14.3	14.2		117.5	116.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.2	11.4	13.1	11.6	12.7
MIL	15.3	14.7	13.1	14.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Phillips	17	17	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-13	10	11.3	13.0	-1.73	15.6	14.2	1.49
Jalen Smith	70	71	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-13	10	13.5	11.2	2.35	14.9	13.3	1.62
Dalen Terry	30	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	-10	4	12.4	12.9	-0.53	16.4	13.6	2.73
Patrick Williams	88	89	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-11	6	13.1	10.9	2.24	14.2	15.4	-1.14
Nikola Vu?evi?	91	91	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.09	-12	-4	-8	12.3	15.2	-2.86	14.5	13.9	0.54
Matas Buzelis	98	98	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.03	-14	-2	-12	12.5	16.0	-3.52	14.0	19.4	-5.39
Josh Giddey	92	92	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	-2	-12	12.6	13.7	-1.12	14.4	14.1	0.37
Tre Jones	106	106	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	0	-16	12.7	0.0	12.75	14.4	0.0	14.40
Isaac Okoro	53	54	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.10	-15	-1	-14	14.2	11.2	3.00	14.9	13.8	1.12
Kevin Huerter	97	96	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.07	-17	1	-18	12.7	13.7	-1.01	14.9	9.8	5.08
Ayo Dosunmu	88	89	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.13	-18	2	-20	13.5	9.3	4.18	14.6	13.4	1.17

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Kuzma	91	92	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.03	17	-1	18	14.7	12.3	2.48	12.9	11.5	1.43
AJ Green	91	92	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.08	15	1	14	14.5	13.9	0.54	12.5	14.6	-2.19
Giannis Antetokounmpo	106	106	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.03	16	0	16	14.4	0.0	14.40	12.7	0.0	12.75
Ryan Rollins	94	94	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	2	12	14.4	14.7	-0.40	12.5	14.7	-2.17
Myles Turner	86	88	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.01	16	0	16	14.6	13.6	0.92	12.9	12.1	0.76
Bobby Portis	84	84	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.11	9	7	2	14.5	14.0	0.56	13.4	10.2	3.23
Jericho Sims	38	38	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	8	0	15.1	14.0	1.11	12.3	13.0	-0.75
Cole Anthony	75	75	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.13	5	11	-6	15.0	13.0	2.02	13.4	11.2	2.15
Gary Trent Jr.	64	63	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	13	-10	14.2	14.7	-0.53	12.7	12.9	-0.19
Amir Coffey	49	49	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	15	-14	15.4	13.5	1.96	13.2	12.3	0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.58,0.61,0.85,0.78,0.6,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 100, OKC 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.83,0.77,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.99,1	92.4%
LAC 98, MEM 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.67,0.86,0.73,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.99,1,0.98,1,1	92.4%
VAN 77, SAC 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.83,1	92.3%