NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	110		Excitement	7.4 [135]		MVP	Julian Champagnie (SAS): +30.0%
San Antonio Spurs	121		Comeback	3.7 [68]		LVP	Jeremy Sochan (SAS): -11.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reed Sheppard	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23	0.12	0.09	-0.03	10	80%	0.26	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.02	22	51%	0.15	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.02
Josh Okogie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.03	-0.03	-0.02	7	75%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	33%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jae'Sean Tate	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tari Eason	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.05	-0.02	6	92%	0.09	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Amen Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	12	50%	0.05	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Kevin Durant	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	18	56%	0.17	8	-0.21	7	100%	0.05
Jabari Smith Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julian Champagnie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.03,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.11	0.16	-0.02	14	69%	0.36	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.19	0.02	0.03	11	100%	0.26	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.06	-0.03	12	54%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jordan McLaughlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Castle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	-0.08	0.07	-0.07	12	48%	0.11	5	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.05	0.02	16	58%	0.14	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.02
Lindy Waters III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	44%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	5	17%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	32.0	0.0	32.2	0.0	35.8	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +40.6%

HOU -7.6%

SAS +10.7%

SAS +8.6%

HOU -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAS	NBA	HOU	SAS	NBA
this game	14.7	13.5	14.1	106.8	119.8	113.7
season	15.2	14.0		119.9	117.1
opponent	14.3	13.8		112.5	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.0	15.8	14.8	13.2	14.7
SAS	14.2	12.9	12.8	14.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	12	11	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.03	8	-19	27	18.7	14.2	4.60	14.4	13.4	0.97
Jae'Sean Tate	24	25	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-13	15	15.0	14.6	0.41	14.2	13.2	0.99
Jabari Smith Jr.	71	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-1	-9	15.3	13.3	2.04	13.3	13.8	-0.52
Josh Okogie	81	81	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-7	3	14.8	14.3	0.47	13.7	12.6	1.12
Steven Adams	84	81	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-3	-5	15.3	12.1	3.23	13.6	13.0	0.62
Amen Thompson	101	100	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-6	1	14.7	12.0	2.74	13.6	2.0	11.61
Kevin Durant	94	93	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	-1	-9	15.0	11.7	3.31	13.3	15.2	-1.91
Reed Sheppard	97	95	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.30	-7	-4	-3	15.3	5.0	10.29	13.9	6.8	7.08
Alperen Sengun	103	101	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.18	-11	0	-11	14.7	0.0	14.69	13.5	0.0	13.50
Tari Eason	96	95	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.19	-17	6	-23	14.7	14.1	0.59	13.5	13.3	0.17

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Castle	88	91	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.09	24	-13	37	13.3	14.8	-1.55	15.0	12.4	2.57
Devin Vassell	93	95	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.16	15	-4	19	13.6	12.0	1.62	14.8	13.2	1.56
Harrison Barnes	97	100	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.12	16	-5	21	13.6	10.2	3.38	14.9	8.0	6.89
Julian Champagnie	80	82	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.15	12	-1	13	13.5	13.3	0.26	15.3	12.3	2.96
Victor Wembanyama	101	103	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	0	11	13.5	0.0	13.50	14.7	0.0	14.69
Keldon Johnson	89	90	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.15	3	8	-5	13.7	12.2	1.51	15.4	9.6	5.81
Jordan McLaughlin	36	38	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.13	-5	16	-21	13.3	13.6	-0.34	15.9	14.0	1.91
Lindy Waters III	29	29	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	13	-15	14.4	13.1	1.29	16.4	14.0	2.40
Jeremy Sochan	64	67	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.14	-7	18	-25	13.5	13.6	-0.11	15.3	13.6	1.70
Kelly Olynyk	34	33	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.06	-7	18	-25	13.9	13.3	0.67	15.8	14.2	1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.36,0.5,0.49,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.94,0.78,0.75,0.84,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 89, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.95,0.98,1,1	92.1%
POR 77, UTA 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.92,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.78,0.95,0.85,1	92.1%
ATL 95, CLE 101	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.46,0.49,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.87,0.82,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.82,0.82,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.75,0.93,0.99,0.95,1	91.7%