NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	95		Excitement	6.9 [466]		MVP	Evan Mobley (CLE): +10.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Comeback	3.8 [119]		LVP	Collin Sexton (CLE): -14.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Reddish	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	14	59%	0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Solomon Hill	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	3	83%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	16	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	12	38%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
John Collins	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	0.02	8	33%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Kevin Huerter	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	9	22%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.14	-0.00	-0.12	0.02	22	47%	-0.04	2	-0.10	7	100%	0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.05	0.02	12	63%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.02	15	72%	0.18	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	7	60%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.00	-0.07	0.06	-0.01	15	33%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	8	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	9	28%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	9	55%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Collin Sexton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	14	37%	-0.04	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.5	20.7	14.0	31.2	2.5	35.5	133.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +27.1%

CLE +13.1%

CLE +0.8%

CLE +4.1%

CLE +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CLE	NBA	ATL	CLE	NBA
this game	13.7	15.9	14.5	96.9	104.1	110.8
season	14.6	15.2		114.3	110.6
opponent	14.4	14.5		108.5	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.1	13.4	16.2	11.9	13.7
CLE	14.1	16.6	13.8	19.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delon Wright	26	23	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.02	8	-14	22	13.8	13.6	0.14	17.7	15.3	2.43
Kevin Huerter	44	42	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.17	9	-15	24	14.0	13.4	0.57	16.7	15.2	1.50
John Collins	53	55	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.22	10	-16	26	12.7	14.8	-2.14	16.6	14.9	1.73
Solomon Hill	26	25	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-9	12	14.0	13.5	0.51	16.7	15.6	1.12
Gorgui Dieng	38	37	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.19	7	-13	20	14.1	13.4	0.72	16.5	15.5	1.06
Cam Reddish	57	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	5	-16	13.8	13.5	0.30	16.2	15.5	0.67
Clint Capela	57	56	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.18	-10	4	-14	13.3	14.2	-0.91	15.8	16.0	-0.28
De'Andre Hunter	62	63	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.24	-11	5	-16	13.6	13.7	-0.09	14.7	18.0	-3.30
Trae Young	72	74	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.30	-14	8	-22	13.6	13.8	-0.14	15.3	17.7	-2.43
Bogdan Bogdanovic	55	56	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.13	-21	15	-36	14.2	13.0	1.18	14.8	17.3	-2.48

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Rubio	73	73	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.29	16	-10	26	14.9	18.9	-4.03	13.5	14.0	-0.51
Kevin Love	46	48	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-5	16	16.3	15.5	0.71	13.1	14.2	-1.01
Evan Mobley	70	71	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.26	6	0	6	15.5	16.9	-1.39	14.4	11.6	2.81
Isaac Okoro	65	67	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	4	-2	16.8	14.1	2.72	13.4	14.3	-0.96
Jarrett Allen	69	68	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	6	-6	15.7	16.2	-0.51	13.2	14.7	-1.45
Lauri Markkanen	67	66	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.30	-4	10	-14	16.0	15.6	0.46	13.2	14.6	-1.43
Collin Sexton	56	57	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	2	2	16.2	15.5	0.69	14.2	13.0	1.18
Cedi Osman	39	40	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	11	-16	16.1	15.7	0.36	14.5	13.1	1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.46,0.49,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.87,0.82,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.82,0.82,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.75,0.93,0.99,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 102, LAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.88,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.76,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	92.3%
UTA 128, PHX 136	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.61,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.89,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.9,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.85,0.91,0.99,1	91.9%
BOS 97, UTA 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.21,0.25,0.37,0.49,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.57,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	91.9%