NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	102		Excitement	5.5 [718]		MVP	Nick Young (LAL): +15.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	111		Comeback	2.6 [157]		LVP	DeAndre Jordan (LAC): -12.3%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	16	65%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.02	0.04	7	75%	0.09	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Brandon Bass	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	10	35%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	17	52%	0.01	4	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	10	40%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.03	0.03	9	33%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.02	4	58%	-0.01	4	-0.11	4	25%	-0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.03	0.05	9	95%	0.17	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.02	0.05	11	73%	0.09	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	9	52%	0.06	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	8	48%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	11	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	0.01	13	50%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	11	54%	0.06	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.02
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	9	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.3	35.5	16.7	27.3	2.8	35.0	145.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +24.6%

LAL +4.7%

LAL +12.2%

LAL +8.0%

LAL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	LAL	NBA	LAC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.0	14.8	102.0	111.0	107.7
season	15.0	14.5		110.8	104.8
opponent	14.4	14.8		111.6	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.2	13.2	16.8	14.4	14.8
LAL	13.0	13.0	13.9	16.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	26	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-9	9	15.6	14.6	1.05	14.1	13.9	0.21
Marreese Speights	42	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.30	7	-16	23	13.7	15.7	-2.02	15.0	13.2	1.79
Wesley Johnson	50	50	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-8	7	14.6	15.1	-0.52	14.1	13.9	0.20
Brandon Bass	44	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-4	-1	13.4	16.0	-2.60	13.9	14.0	-0.17
Jamal Crawford	65	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-8	7	14.1	16.2	-2.09	14.2	13.5	0.72
Luc Mbah a Moute	32	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.00	-9	0	-9	16.1	14.3	1.80	13.4	14.2	-0.84
Raymond Felton	78	78	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-7	5	15.1	14.0	1.14	14.1	13.5	0.59
Austin Rivers	51	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-2	-5	14.8	14.9	-0.03	14.7	13.2	1.44
JJ Redick	54	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.01	-13	4	-17	15.7	13.8	1.88	13.1	15.0	-1.97
DeAndre Jordan	58	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.00	-14	5	-19	15.7	13.7	2.02	13.2	15.0	-1.79

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	61	63	0.69	-0.19	0.88	-0.04	25	-16	41	13.6	14.5	-0.95	16.0	12.9	3.09
D'Angelo Russell	67	67	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.15	14	-5	19	14.1	13.8	0.30	14.9	14.7	0.17
Julius Randle	64	65	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.15	12	-3	15	14.3	13.4	0.85	15.1	14.4	0.72
Timofey Mozgov	54	55	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.00	13	-4	17	13.7	14.3	-0.64	15.3	14.3	1.04
Brandon Ingram	57	56	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	10	-11	14.1	13.8	0.30	14.4	15.5	-1.10
Luol Deng	73	72	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.29	-4	13	-17	14.1	13.6	0.55	14.5	15.8	-1.31
Lou Williams	49	49	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	12	-15	14.5	13.5	1.00	14.1	15.5	-1.45
Thomas Robinson	33	32	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	11	-13	13.3	14.3	-0.98	14.8	14.9	-0.04
Jordan Clarkson	42	41	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.17	-9	18	-27	13.7	14.1	-0.38	14.2	15.3	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.88,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.76,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 90, POR 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.8,0.85,0.79,0.88,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%
MEM 102, MIN 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.69,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.98,1,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.7%
LAC 84, PHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.7,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1,1	92.7%