NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	90		Excitement	5.1 [793]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +14.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	105		Comeback	3.4 [630]		LVP	JJ Hickson (POR): -16.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kurt Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	-0.01	0.07	21	63%	0.14	4	-0.12	10	70%	-0.01
Steve Novak	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	9	33%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	12	41%	-0.07	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	8	19%	-0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	8	50%	-0.03	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.17	0.03	0.05	18	70%	0.18	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.01	15	61%	0.17	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	-0.04	10	58%	0.11	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	78%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.02	0.03	10	76%	0.07	3	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Meyers Leonard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
JJ Hickson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	0.00	14	37%	-0.05	4	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	3.5	31.3	18.7	28.2	2.8	34.0	143.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +45.0%

POR +9.5%

NYK -2.5%

POR +0.9%

NYK -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	POR	NBA	NYK	POR	NBA
this game	16.2	15.1	15.4	97.8	114.1	104.1
season	16.2	15.8		107.9	104.3
opponent	15.3	15.5		107.6	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.0	17.0	16.7	15.2	16.2
POR	16.0	15.7	12.8	16.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Novak	16	18	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-17	19	16.2	16.2	-0.06	15.4	15.0	0.47
Pablo Prigioni	28	30	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.12	6	-21	27	16.1	16.3	-0.19	15.0	15.1	-0.05
Chris Copeland	40	40	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.19	6	-21	27	16.3	16.2	0.06	15.9	14.4	1.52
Marcus Camby	36	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-15	15	16.4	16.1	0.29	15.3	14.9	0.39
Iman Shumpert	45	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	-2	-11	16.4	16.1	0.36	14.7	15.3	-0.60
Jason Kidd	63	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.04	-13	-2	-11	16.3	16.2	0.10	15.6	14.0	1.61
Kurt Thomas	47	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-5	-5	15.7	16.8	-1.14	15.1	15.0	0.04
J.R. Smith	69	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-3	-9	15.7	17.8	-2.12	14.9	15.7	-0.78
Raymond Felton	56	56	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.04	-20	5	-25	16.1	16.5	-0.38	15.0	15.2	-0.17
Kenyon Martin	60	57	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.04	-21	6	-27	17.2	14.4	2.76	14.2	16.5	-2.34

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	76	76	0.70	-0.20	0.89	-0.04	25	-10	35	15.1	14.9	0.15	16.7	14.1	2.56
Nicolas Batum	75	75	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.04	24	-9	33	14.7	16.5	-1.72	16.3	15.8	0.58
JJ Hickson	66	68	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.02	19	-4	23	14.3	16.9	-2.59	16.2	16.3	-0.13
LaMarcus Aldridge	85	86	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.05	17	-2	19	14.7	19.0	-4.26	16.3	15.0	1.33
Wesley Matthews	80	80	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	6	3	15.1	14.6	0.55	16.0	17.6	-1.55
Meyers Leonard	23	21	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.13	-7	22	-29	16.5	14.6	1.94	17.2	15.9	1.29
Eric Maynor	36	35	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	20	-25	15.7	14.6	1.12	15.3	16.8	-1.45
Will Barton	19	19	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.04	-7	22	-29	16.8	14.6	2.24	15.2	16.5	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.8,0.85,0.79,0.88,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 80, DEN 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%
LAC 102, LAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.88,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.76,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.5%
WAS 87, IND 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%