NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	124		Excitement	8.1 [103]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (LAC): +78.3%
LA Clippers	126		Comeback	1.7 [302]		LVP	Yves Missi (NOP): -8.5%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Poole	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31	0.18	0.15	0.02	15	86%	0.44	5	-0.13	5	100%	0.03
Zion Williamson	0.20	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0.2	0.09	0.13	0.02	17	62%	0.29	3	-0.09	13	85%	0.13
Trey Murphy III	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.05	0.00	14	61%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Saddiq Bey	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	57%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Herbert Jones	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.03	5	110%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derik Queen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Karlo Matkovi?	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Fears	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	14	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Yves Missi	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	4	75%	0.03	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.78	0.78	0.28	0.52	0.01	16	87%	0.92	2	-0.13	7	100%	0.05
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.13	0.13	0.02	10	80%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	10	67%	0.15	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.02	0.00	7	78%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
James Harden	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	19	56%	0.20	4	-0.13	5	80%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.4	31.5	13.7	29.2	1.4	38.2	136.9
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +75.9%

NOP -23.5%

NOP -4.7%

LAC +1.3%

LAC +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	LAC	NBA	NOP	LAC	NBA
this game	14.1	14.8	14.1	124.0	127.3	113.7
season	14.4	15.4		110.5	112.6
opponent	13.8	13.7		117.1	118.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.8	13.3	14.5	13.8	14.1
LAC	13.9	14.9	14.9	15.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Saddiq Bey	89	89	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.09	6	-8	14	14.6	10.2	4.38	15.4	10.1	5.26
Karlo Matkovi?	6	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	3	-8	12.7	14.2	-1.50	18.9	14.5	4.34
Derik Queen	57	56	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-3	4	14.9	13.0	1.81	14.9	14.7	0.15
Jordan Poole	99	97	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-2	2	14.2	0.0	14.22	14.9	9.0	5.95
Jose Alvarado	54	55	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	6	-14	15.0	13.0	2.08	15.4	14.2	1.20
Yves Missi	81	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	5	-12	14.4	12.8	1.53	15.1	13.6	1.48
Jeremiah Fears	74	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.37	0	-2	2	14.4	13.2	1.15	15.5	12.9	2.55
Trey Murphy III	83	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	0	-2	14.2	13.4	0.81	15.3	12.4	2.92
Zion Williamson	94	93	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.48	2	-4	6	13.8	18.8	-5.06	15.1	11.0	4.08
Herbert Jones	92	90	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.33	-9	7	-16	14.3	11.7	2.53	15.0	12.7	2.38

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	99	100	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	14.8	0.0	14.83	14.1	0.0	14.08
James Harden	81	82	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.41	3	-1	4	15.0	14.1	0.94	14.0	14.6	-0.65
Derrick Jones Jr.	84	86	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.42	2	0	2	15.1	13.1	2.08	14.0	14.8	-0.82
Ivica Zubac	87	89	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.21	5	-3	8	15.4	10.8	4.55	14.4	11.8	2.54
Kris Dunn	98	99	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.26	2	0	2	14.9	9.0	5.89	14.2	0.0	14.22
Brook Lopez	62	62	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	-6	14	15.8	13.3	2.49	15.2	12.3	2.93
Bradley Beal	48	47	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	-3	8	15.6	14.1	1.47	14.6	13.6	1.05
John Collins	85	84	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.26	-4	6	-10	15.4	11.5	3.88	14.4	12.2	2.25
Chris Paul	50	49	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.11	0	2	-2	14.4	15.3	-0.87	14.6	13.6	1.04
Nicolas Batum	36	37	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.14	-7	9	-16	16.8	13.7	3.11	14.1	14.0	0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.56,0.44,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.76,0.83,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.71,0.76,0.88,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.99,1	92.4%
MIN 100, PHI 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.72,0.86,0.96,1	92.3%
NJN 77, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.74,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.98,1	92.2%