NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	109		Excitement	7.2 [243]		MVP	VJ Edgecombe (PHI): +11.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	108		Comeback	1.0 [435]		LVP	Josh Minott (BOS): -17.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Garza	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	5	90%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.05	0.16	-0.10	0.01	19	78%	0.31	5	-0.26	3	67%	-0.02
Xavier Tillman	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hugo Gonz�lez	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baylor Scheierman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	16	44%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Anfernee Simons	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	21	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Payton Pritchard	-0.07	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	17	44%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Minott	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.17	-0.08	-0.12	-0.02	5	14%	-0.17	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.14

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
VJ Edgecombe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.04	0.04	11	74%	0.15	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	13	61%	0.16	4	-0.12	7	100%	0.04
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.02	0.03	12	57%	0.09	3	-0.08	6	33%	-0.03
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adem Bona	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	3	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	0.04	13	53%	0.01	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.01
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.14	-0.14	0.05	-0.17	0.02	16	67%	0.03	5	-0.16	7	86%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	0.2	32.2	0.1	44.6	0.2	38.5	142.3
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +15.7%

PHI -28.1%

BOS +19.4%

BOS +17.4%

BOS +25.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	15.2	14.3	14.2	111.2	111.3	113.6
season	15.2	14.6		120.5	113.6
opponent	13.8	14.4		112.2	113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.4	13.7	14.6	18.6	15.2
PHI	14.8	15.1	13.1	14.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Payton Pritchard	96	95	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.44	6	-5	11	15.2	14.0	1.25	14.5	2.0	12.54
Derrick White	96	94	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.23	6	-5	11	15.2	14.0	1.25	14.7	2.3	12.33
Hugo Gonz�lez	66	67	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	-9	19	15.3	15.0	0.29	14.0	14.9	-0.95
Anfernee Simons	89	89	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	-11	23	15.5	12.7	2.82	14.6	10.9	3.71
Sam Hauser	98	96	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.25	1	0	1	15.2	0.0	15.22	14.4	3.0	11.40
Luka Garza	64	64	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.04	8	-7	15	14.7	16.1	-1.41	14.7	13.4	1.29
Jaylen Brown	84	83	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.48	-8	9	-17	15.8	12.0	3.76	14.6	12.4	2.25
Josh Minott	58	59	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.31	-3	4	-7	15.7	14.5	1.22	15.2	12.8	2.45
Neemias Queta	70	69	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	-3	7	14.4	17.2	-2.74	14.4	14.0	0.39
Baylor Scheierman	9	9	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	-3	7	13.1	15.4	-2.33	15.6	14.1	1.41
Xavier Tillman	32	33	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	0	1	17.0	14.4	2.59	15.9	13.4	2.47

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trendon Watford	33	34	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.07	7	-8	15	14.1	14.4	-0.24	15.6	15.0	0.56
Jabari Walker	22	23	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.03	3	-4	7	15.6	13.9	1.76	15.7	15.1	0.56
Andre Drummond	50	50	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.22	6	-7	13	14.3	14.2	0.13	14.3	16.2	-1.97
Adem Bona	45	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	6	-13	14.8	13.9	0.89	16.4	14.2	2.23
Justin Edwards	75	76	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	6	-13	14.3	14.1	0.18	14.2	18.6	-4.34
Tyrese Maxey	96	98	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.25	-1	0	-1	14.4	3.0	11.40	15.2	0.0	15.22
Joel Embiid	57	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-1	1	15.5	12.5	2.98	16.3	13.7	2.58
VJ Edgecombe	85	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.56	5	-6	11	14.7	11.4	3.27	15.8	11.8	3.98
Kelly Oubre Jr.	96	97	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.49	-1	0	-1	14.4	1.0	13.42	15.3	9.0	6.29
Quentin Grimes	90	90	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.29	-12	11	-23	14.5	12.0	2.46	15.3	14.2	1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.2,0.29,0.37,0.28,0.33,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.18,0.19,0.08,0.15,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 90, MIN 83	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.2,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0	94.2%
IND 110, MIL 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.22,0.11,0.22,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0	94.1%
LAL 96, ORL 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.04,0,0.01,0	93.7%