inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 109 Excitement7.2 [59] MVPVJ Edgecombe (PHI): +11.7%
Philadelphia 76ers 108 Comeback1.0 [97] LVPJosh Minott (BOS): -17.3%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luka Garza0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.02590%0.0800.0000%0.00
Neemias Queta0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.030.002100%0.0700.0000%0.00
Jaylen Brown0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.050.16-0.100.011978%0.315-0.26367%-0.02
Xavier Tillman0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.00-0.02462%0.0500.0000%0.00
Hugo González-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.00550%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Sam Hauser-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.02-0.01625%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Baylor Scheierman-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Derrick White-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.021644%0.002-0.03250%-0.01
Anfernee Simons-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.03-0.012142%-0.021-0.03367%-0.00
Payton Pritchard-0.070,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.040.021744%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Josh Minott-0.170,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.17-0.08-0.12-0.02514%-0.1700.00450%-0.14

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
VJ Edgecombe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.120.120.120.040.041174%0.151-0.031100%0.00
Joel Embiid0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.010.021361%0.164-0.127100%0.04
Kelly Oubre Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.020.031257%0.093-0.08633%-0.03
Jabari Walker0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.01250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Adem Bona0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.01-0.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Andre Drummond0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.030.01360%-0.0100.00475%0.00
Trendon Watford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.0010%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Justin Edwards0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.01520%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Quentin Grimes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.030.041353%0.013-0.08450%-0.01
Tyrese Maxey0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.14-0.140.05-0.170.021667%0.035-0.16786%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.40.232.20.144.60.238.5142.3
league avg26.22.228.614.829.12.332.6136.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +15.7%
PHI -28.1%
BOS +19.4%
BOS +17.4%
BOS +25.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSPHINBABOSPHINBA
this game14.613.813.7106.9108.0110.9
season14.514.4111.1115.0
opponent13.014.2109.4109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS14.413.213.617.814.6
PHI14.215.112.114.113.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Payton Pritchard100980.62-0.120.740.446-51114.614.00.6414.12.012.09
Derrick White100970.400.100.310.236-51114.614.00.6414.22.311.87
Hugo González69700.380.120.260.0910-91914.714.60.0813.414.9-1.55
Anfernee Simons93920.290.210.08-0.0612-112314.812.72.1514.110.93.23
Sam Hauser102990.280.220.070.2510114.60.014.6314.03.010.96
Luka Garza67670.280.220.060.048-71514.115.7-1.6114.113.40.64
Jaylen Brown87860.240.26-0.010.48-89-1715.211.24.0214.112.41.74
Josh Minott61620.220.28-0.050.31-34-715.014.10.8014.512.81.71
Neemias Queta73720.190.31-0.120.074-3713.816.6-2.7413.814.0-0.21
Baylor Scheierman1090.090.41-0.32-0.034-3711.814.9-3.1315.613.71.87
Xavier Tillman34330.010.49-0.48-0.0210116.014.02.0115.912.83.07

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trendon Watford35360.14-0.640.78-0.077-81513.314.1-0.8214.714.60.06
Jabari Walker25240.06-0.560.61-0.033-4713.813.9-0.1215.014.50.49
Andre Drummond5253-0.05-0.450.41-0.226-71313.813.9-0.1313.515.9-2.45
Adem Bona4648-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.05-76-1314.413.41.0816.013.42.67
Justin Edwards7879-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.07-76-1313.814.1-0.3713.717.8-4.07
Tyrese Maxey99102-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.25-10-114.03.010.9614.60.014.63
Joel Embiid6061-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.350-1114.712.52.2115.513.42.11
VJ Edgecombe8889-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.565-61114.211.42.7715.011.83.28
Kelly Oubre Jr.99101-0.520.02-0.54-0.49-10-114.01.012.9814.79.05.68
Quentin Grimes9394-0.640.14-0.79-0.29-1211-2314.012.01.9914.714.20.41


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.2,0.29,0.37,0.28,0.33,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.18,0.19,0.08,0.15,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.05,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 90, MIN 830.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.2,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,094.2%
IND 110, MIL 1000.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.22,0.11,0.22,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,094.1%
LAL 96, ORL 870.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.04,0,0.01,093.7%