NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	96		Excitement	5.8 [626]		MVP	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (LAL): +18.2%
Orlando Magic	87		Comeback	1.0 [986]		LVP	Terrence Ross (ORL): -17.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.07	-0.03	10	71%	0.19	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	5	90%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alex Caruso	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	70%	0.11	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Troy Daniels	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	2	57%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Avery Bradley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	11	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
LeBron James	-0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	24	47%	0.05	6	-0.12	5	40%	-0.02
Anthony Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.02	-0.01	20	36%	-0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.08	0.04	14	58%	0.14	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	17	50%	0.08	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	11	54%	0.08	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.04	0.06	9	65%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
D.J. Augustin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	6	31%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	0%	-0.08
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	11	18%	-0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	25.3	15.4	27.4	2.5	32.5	132.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +34.9%

ORL -5.1%

LAL +7.6%

LAL +12.0%

LAL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ORL	NBA	LAL	ORL	NBA
this game	15.1	15.5	14.2	103.2	91.6	109.6
season	14.2	14.7		111.8	107.1
opponent	14.2	14.4		108.9	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.3	15.6	14.5	17.2	15.1
ORL	16.0	13.8	16.1	16.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	75	76	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.26	8	1	7	15.0	15.4	-0.35	15.5	15.7	-0.20
Jared Dudley	40	41	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-7	23	15.9	14.5	1.39	15.5	15.6	-0.11
Alex Caruso	53	55	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	-4	17	15.6	14.4	1.15	15.2	15.9	-0.73
Avery Bradley	31	32	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.00	12	-3	15	15.9	14.7	1.19	15.6	15.5	0.10
Dwight Howard	34	33	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.32	-2	11	-13	17.4	13.8	3.54	15.2	15.7	-0.53
Anthony Davis	71	74	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	5	-1	14.5	17.1	-2.60	15.7	14.9	0.80
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	62	63	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.24	-3	12	-15	14.7	15.9	-1.19	15.5	15.6	-0.10
Troy Daniels	11	13	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.12	8	1	7	13.1	15.4	-2.29	16.3	15.4	0.91
Danny Green	59	59	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.30	-8	17	-25	14.8	15.6	-0.85	15.4	15.7	-0.23
JaVale McGee	29	29	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	12	-15	13.6	15.8	-2.26	16.1	15.3	0.78

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wes Iwundu	33	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-9	9	14.8	15.9	-1.09	16.3	14.5	1.77
D.J. Augustin	54	53	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-8	7	16.0	14.9	1.10	14.3	16.2	-1.87
Khem Birch	49	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.11	-8	-1	-7	16.1	15.0	1.10	13.9	16.3	-2.45
Jonathan Isaac	70	72	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-13	17	15.1	16.7	-1.62	14.9	15.7	-0.78
Mo Bamba	36	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-8	7	15.1	15.8	-0.62	16.6	14.2	2.45
Aaron Gordon	68	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	4	-17	16.5	13.1	3.43	14.3	16.8	-2.45
Michael Carter-Williams	41	40	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.16	-8	-1	-7	14.9	16.0	-1.10	16.2	14.3	1.87
Evan Fournier	68	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.21	-7	-2	-5	15.8	14.8	1.05	14.6	16.4	-1.77
Terrence Ross	56	55	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	2	-13	14.7	16.7	-1.98	16.2	13.5	2.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.04,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 102, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.37,0.18,0.26,0.48,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.3,0.2,0.07,0,0,0,0.04,0	94.6%
WAS 114, ATL 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.2,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.27,0.17,0.16,0.07,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%
MIN 101, MEM 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.01,0	93.3%