inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 116 Excitement1.5 [735] MVPBrandon Williams (DAL): +18.4%
Golden State Warriors 126 Comeback1.1 [1033] LVPNaji Marshall (DAL): -5.4%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Williams0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.170.040.021279%0.232-0.05978%-0.01
Max Christie0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.06-0.02-0.01965%0.071-0.032100%0.01
Cooper Flagg0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.11-0.010.062161%0.061-0.0320%-0.04
Daniel Gafford-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.003100%0.062-0.0600%0.00
Klay Thompson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.01-0.00844%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Caleb Martin-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Ryan Nembhard-0.040,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00540%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Anthony Davis-0.040,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.00425%-0.0400.00425%-0.04
P.J. Washington-0.050,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.02-0.000.071258%-0.002-0.0500%0.00
Naji Marshall-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.001444%-0.031-0.024100%0.02

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Horford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.150.010.007100%0.1500.0000%0.00
Brandin Podziemski0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.03-0.00865%0.121-0.034100%0.03
Trayce Jackson-Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.010.01683%0.0800.0000%0.00
Stephen Curry0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.02-0.031851%0.113-0.069100%0.04
Moses Moody0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.00960%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Gary Payton II0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.020.02560%0.0200.0000%0.00
Will Richard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.01-0.01642%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Draymond Green0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.02-0.02744%0.032-0.042100%0.01
Jimmy Butler III0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.011058%0.114-0.12475%0.00
De'Anthony Melton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.04-0.000.071448%-0.0300.00580%0.00
Quinten Post0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00933%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game35.32.427.215.429.10.032.90.0
league avg26.51.929.214.229.92.132.8136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +7.8%
GSW +18.5%
GSW +22.0%
GSW +2.7%
DAL -1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALGSWNBADALGSWNBA
this game12.214.714.2107.4118.9113.4
season13.914.7109.5112.8
opponent13.813.9113.6114.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL12.012.213.311.012.2
GSW12.314.013.819.514.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Davis27280.11-0.610.72-0.076-162210.712.7-1.9913.315.2-1.96
Ryan Nembhard36360.01-0.510.52-0.135-152012.212.20.0416.114.02.10
Caleb Martin5352-0.11-0.390.28-0.203-131613.111.31.8413.915.5-1.65
Naji Marshall8081-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.270-101012.411.60.7415.014.00.95
Cooper Flagg99100-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.30-1-9812.212.7-0.5214.813.51.30
Daniel Gafford9491-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.13-100-1012.510.42.1114.217.9-3.74
Klay Thompson10199-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.24-7-3-412.49.72.6514.518.0-3.51
Max Christie107106-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.19-100-1012.32.010.2914.70.014.73
P.J. Washington9897-0.510.01-0.53-0.13-133-1612.310.71.6515.111.04.07
Brandon Williams105103-0.510.01-0.53-0.16-122-1412.45.07.4014.715.0-0.28

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
De'Anthony Melton1031050.51-0.010.530.1612-21414.715.0-0.2812.45.07.40
Jimmy Butler III1061080.500.000.500.211001014.70.014.7312.20.012.19
Brandin Podziemski94960.400.100.300.1782614.218.7-4.4412.311.01.34
Stephen Curry90890.300.200.110.2719-815.112.42.7712.212.2-0.02
Trayce Jackson-Davis87860.250.250.000.2219-814.615.4-0.8512.510.91.67
Al Horford58600.250.25-0.000.0182613.016.8-3.7412.911.31.63
Draymond Green81820.210.29-0.090.29-313-1615.512.33.1512.212.2-0.05
Will Richard67690.160.34-0.180.1028-613.716.5-2.7912.411.80.67
Moses Moody72730.160.34-0.190.25-313-1615.313.51.7612.311.90.41
Gary Payton II77760.110.39-0.280.28-616-2215.512.82.7112.012.7-0.79
Quinten Post3434-0.060.56-0.630.05-414-1815.314.50.8411.312.6-1.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.74,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.75,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 92, DEN 1040.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.98,1,195.4%
ORL 76, MIA 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.92,0.82,0.89,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
CHI 95, IND 1080.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,195.1%