NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	95		Excitement	1.5 [716]		MVP	T.J. Warren (IND): +16.8%
Indiana Pacers	108		Comeback	1.1 [797]		LVP	Otto Porter Jr. (CHI): -17.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.00	10	77%	0.14	2	-0.03	6	33%	-0.04
Luke Kornet	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.01	4	90%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	9	48%	0.05	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	75%	0.02	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	20	50%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	13	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Kris Dunn	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	6	7%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Otto Porter Jr.	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.02	0.01	10	18%	-0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.16	0.02	0.01	16	68%	0.19	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	64%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
TJ Leaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	13	50%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	52%	0.04	1	-0.01	9	100%	0.05
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	15	67%	0.10	5	-0.08	3	100%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.01	7	41%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	8	31%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	4	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.7	28.0	14.8	23.4	2.4	36.5	132.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +28.9%

IND +10.1%

IND +6.6%

IND +2.6%

IND +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	NBA	CHI	IND	NBA
this game	12.9	14.7	14.2	89.6	104.9	109.6
season	14.1	14.4		105.3	108.7
opponent	14.4	14.4		107.4	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.3	14.2	11.8	10.6	12.9
IND	12.9	13.5	16.6	15.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille Harrison	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-13	13	10.5	13.0	-2.47	6.0	14.7	-8.75
Wendell Carter Jr.	61	59	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	-10	7	13.5	12.1	1.45	14.7	14.5	0.20
Ryan Arcidiacono	39	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-11	9	12.0	13.4	-1.42	14.4	14.8	-0.40
Kris Dunn	41	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.12	-2	-11	9	12.4	13.2	-0.79	14.9	14.5	0.35
Coby White	52	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-10	7	12.3	13.5	-1.17	15.2	14.2	1.00
Lauri Markkanen	64	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	-4	-5	12.7	13.3	-0.56	14.5	14.9	-0.35
Luke Kornet	22	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	-8	3	12.4	13.1	-0.65	14.3	14.7	-0.40
Otto Porter Jr.	61	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-4	-5	13.1	12.6	0.53	14.1	15.5	-1.42
Tomas Satoransky	60	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.04	-12	-1	-11	13.6	12.0	1.59	14.8	14.5	0.29
Zach LaVine	70	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-3	-7	13.2	12.4	0.77	14.7	14.6	0.11
Thaddeus Young	58	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	-3	-7	13.0	12.8	0.20	15.0	14.2	0.79

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. Warren	81	84	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-3	19	14.4	15.6	-1.24	12.9	12.9	0.08
Jeremy Lamb	69	70	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.06	12	1	11	14.5	15.1	-0.60	13.1	12.6	0.56
Malcolm Brogdon	67	68	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	4	5	14.2	15.5	-1.33	13.2	12.4	0.78
Justin Holiday	58	60	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.11	6	7	-1	16.1	12.8	3.38	11.9	14.3	-2.44
TJ Leaf	49	50	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	7	-1	13.7	15.5	-1.80	12.8	13.1	-0.27
Doug McDermott	36	37	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	8	-3	13.9	15.1	-1.23	13.6	12.6	1.07
Goga Bitadze	38	39	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	10	-7	14.7	14.6	0.12	14.4	12.1	2.27
T.J. McConnell	37	39	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	9	-5	15.7	14.1	1.63	12.6	13.1	-0.49
Aaron Holiday	39	40	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	15	-17	14.2	14.9	-0.73	11.7	13.7	-2.01
JaKarr Sampson	41	43	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.09	6	7	-1	15.4	14.1	1.29	13.3	12.7	0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 97, UTA 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	96.1%
WAS 83, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
MIL 93, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.8%