inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 127 Excitement6.2 [480] MVPJamal Murray (DEN): +34.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves 114 Comeback3.1 [513] LVPRudy Gobert (MIN): -4.8%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0.350,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.350.220.13-0.012966%0.402-0.05786%0.04
Tim Hardaway Jr.0.270,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.180.10-0.001183%0.2700.002100%0.02
Nikola Joki?0.150,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.190.020.061093%0.243-0.097100%0.04
Peyton Watson0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.040.02686%0.121-0.012100%0.01
DaRon Holmes II0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hunter Tyson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Julian Strawther0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jalen Pickett0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Spencer Jones0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zeke Nnaji0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Gordon-0.010,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.05-0.02-0.061039%0.032-0.033100%0.01
Jonas Valan?i?nas-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.01-0.01340%0.021-0.03450%-0.02
Cameron Johnson-0.020,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01550%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Bruce Brown-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.00425%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Christian Braun-0.050,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.030.01939%-0.0500.0000%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Naz Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.060.05-0.011264%0.182-0.05450%-0.02
Jaden McDaniels0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.12-0.00-0.001669%0.202-0.074100%0.02
Donte DiVincenzo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.030.01-0.051052%0.111-0.023100%0.02
Julius Randle0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.110.000.031563%0.142-0.06887%-0.01
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.03-0.000.03853%0.0000.003100%0.00
Johnny Juzang0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joan Beringer00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Leonard Miller00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bones Hyland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.080.02-0.04629%0.042-0.06250%-0.02
Rob Dillingham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.002100%0.053-0.0800%0.00
Terrence Shannon Jr.0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.010.03847%0.011-0.05367%-0.01
Rudy Gobert0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.030.02750%-0.001-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.00.036.90.031.80.031.10.0
league avg26.41.929.014.329.72.232.8136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +27.8%
DEN +2.9%
DEN +4.2%
DEN +15.6%
MIN -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENMINNBADENMINNBA
this game13.713.814.2119.8110.7113.4
season14.613.9119.0115.1
opponent14.114.1111.9114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN12.614.813.613.913.7
MIN14.413.414.712.813.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Spencer Jones51490.71-0.210.920.0124-113513.713.70.0214.613.11.58
Tim Hardaway Jr.98960.57-0.070.650.0518-52313.911.62.2614.011.03.01
Jamal Murray101990.57-0.070.640.0119-62514.09.04.9513.813.20.58
Jonas Valan?i?nas54540.54-0.040.580.191211114.512.91.6013.713.9-0.25
Aaron Gordon1031000.53-0.030.550.0317-42113.712.71.0813.912.01.86
Peyton Watson1031010.500.000.490.0615-21713.812.01.7713.813.00.82
Nikola Joki?1031010.500.000.490.0615-21713.812.01.7713.813.00.82
Bruce Brown79800.380.120.260.09103713.613.9-0.2814.611.13.50
Christian Braun80780.270.230.040.1258-313.713.8-0.1214.412.02.33
DaRon Holmes II25250.190.31-0.13-0.0276113.513.8-0.2612.814.1-1.33
Hunter Tyson27270.190.31-0.130.0458-313.913.70.1812.814.2-1.34
Julian Strawther25250.190.31-0.13-0.0276113.513.8-0.2612.814.1-1.33
Jalen Pickett25250.190.31-0.13-0.0276113.513.8-0.2612.814.1-1.33
Zeke Nnaji27270.190.31-0.130.0458-313.913.70.1812.814.2-1.34
Cameron Johnson4849-0.420.92-1.340.02-1528-4313.713.8-0.0915.112.62.43

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Conley6363-0.05-0.450.39-0.02-1-121114.812.32.5013.613.8-0.20
Joan Beringer2323-0.19-0.310.13-0.04-5-8312.414.2-1.8213.013.9-0.86
Leonard Miller2221-0.19-0.310.13-0.04-5-8312.614.1-1.4913.113.9-0.72
Johnny Juzang2727-0.19-0.310.13-0.04-5-8312.814.2-1.3413.913.70.18
Donte DiVincenzo6365-0.22-0.280.07-0.01-7-6-114.113.30.7514.013.30.61
Julius Randle99102-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.12-130-1313.715.2-1.5013.518.5-4.97
Jaden McDaniels98100-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.12-130-1313.813.60.2213.616.3-2.77
Naz Reid98100-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.12-130-1313.813.60.2213.616.3-2.77
Rob Dillingham5357-0.510.01-0.52-0.04-163-1914.213.40.7113.713.8-0.07
Rudy Gobert6669-0.520.02-0.54-0.02-174-2114.113.40.7113.114.8-1.64
Terrence Shannon Jr.100104-0.530.03-0.56-0.15-130-1314.06.77.3513.618.5-4.87
Bones Hyland6266-0.660.16-0.83-0.11-196-2513.514.2-0.7314.013.30.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.23,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 105, CHA 970.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.26,0.15,0.24,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,092.2%
CLE 93, NYK 730.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.41,0.3,0.33,0.18,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,092.1%
NYK 111, ORL 1020.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.26,0.37,0.25,0.21,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,092.0%