NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	111		Excitement	6.0 [590]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): +15.0%
Orlando Magic	102		Comeback	2.7 [159]		LVP	Pat Garrity (ORL): -12.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.03	0.03	20	70%	0.19	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.02
Shandon Anderson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	15	56%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Allan Houston	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.04	0.03	16	64%	0.13	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	-0.04	0.04	-0.06	9	50%	0.08	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Travis Knight	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.00	2	87%	0.10	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.02
Frank Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Charlie Ward	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	16	56%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	2	80%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.02	7	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeryl Sasser	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	15	53%	0.02	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.05
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	0.02	30	54%	0.10	5	-0.15	9	89%	0.03
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	36%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.04	0.03	5	33%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.0	30.2	17.5	26.3	2.5	34.4	137.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +35.4%

NYK +11.2%

NYK +7.7%

ORL -7.9%

NYK +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	16.4	14.2	15.5	118.1	108.5	101.6
season	15.6	14.6		102.6	102.7
opponent	15.8	15.5		103.1	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	18.0	15.5	15.3	17.0	16.4
ORL	12.8	14.5	15.3	14.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Howard Eisley	72	73	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.16	21	-12	33	16.4	16.6	-0.23	13.9	15.4	-1.49
Latrell Sprewell	85	86	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.17	16	-7	23	16.4	16.8	-0.40	14.2	15.0	-0.85
Allan Houston	85	85	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.22	12	-3	15	16.7	14.0	2.67	14.0	16.8	-2.82
Shandon Anderson	57	57	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	3	3	15.3	18.2	-2.93	15.2	12.6	2.60
Clar. Weatherspoon	48	48	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	4	1	15.8	17.0	-1.19	14.7	13.7	0.95
Kurt Thomas	53	53	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	4	1	16.8	16.0	0.82	14.1	14.4	-0.34
Travis Knight	2	1	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	6	-3	19.5	16.3	3.15	9.0	14.3	-5.28
Charlie Ward	9	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	9	-9	12.6	16.8	-4.27	15.2	14.1	1.10
Othella Harrington	39	40	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	9	-9	17.5	15.6	1.88	13.0	15.1	-2.09
Michael Doleac	7	6	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.10	-11	20	-31	17.4	16.3	1.10	15.8	14.1	1.72
Frank Williams	13	12	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.11	-12	21	-33	19.4	15.9	3.45	15.5	14.0	1.46

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeryl Sasser	13	14	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-12	15	13.2	14.4	-1.24	15.1	16.6	-1.49
Chris Whitney	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.05	2	-11	13	10.6	14.7	-4.06	15.5	16.5	-0.98
Shawn Kemp	38	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-7	5	14.4	14.1	0.29	15.1	17.3	-2.24
Jacque Vaughn	36	35	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.11	-6	-3	-3	13.5	14.7	-1.22	17.8	15.6	2.16
Andrew DeClercq	25	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-6	3	13.3	14.6	-1.29	19.0	15.4	3.63
Drew Gooden	67	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-8	7	15.1	12.0	3.12	17.1	14.6	2.50
Darrell Armstrong	60	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-7	5	14.6	13.6	1.00	15.4	18.2	-2.81
Tracy McGrady	94	94	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	0	-9	14.2	0.0	14.22	16.4	0.0	16.41
Pat Garrity	47	46	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	5	-19	14.1	14.3	-0.15	15.2	17.6	-2.47
Gordan Giricek	79	79	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.23	-13	4	-17	14.5	12.9	1.54	16.8	14.3	2.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.26,0.37,0.25,0.21,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 101, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0	91.9%
CLE 93, NYK 73	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.41,0.3,0.33,0.18,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	91.5%
DET 93, NJN 83	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.27,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0	91.5%