NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	93		Excitement	5.6 [702]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): +22.1%
New Jersey Nets	83		Comeback	2.1 [309]		LVP	Vince Carter (NJN): -19.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.19	0.07	0.04	14	83%	0.27	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.04
Chauncey Billups	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	13	62%	0.13	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	15	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.07	-0.00	5	40%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.01	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	15	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.06	0.01	10	69%	0.18	0	0.00	9	89%	0.03
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	10	40%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	7	31%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	14	41%	-0.06	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.07	-0.08	0.05	29	45%	-0.08	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	1.8	25.1	15.4	23.3	2.4	31.5	121.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +51.4%

DET +7.5%

NJN -17.1%

DET +8.2%

NJN -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NJN	NBA	DET	NJN	NBA
this game	16.8	16.7	15.6	106.9	97.6	104.4
season	16.9	15.7		108.3	102.1
opponent	15.7	15.8		100.9	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.0	19.4	16.5	16.7	16.8
NJN	15.7	16.6	17.8	16.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	68	67	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.06	23	-13	36	16.5	17.9	-1.45	16.9	15.7	1.20
Richard Hamilton	76	73	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.15	17	-7	24	16.3	20.1	-3.75	16.6	16.8	-0.19
Chauncey Billups	66	65	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.03	21	-11	32	16.9	16.6	0.26	16.8	16.2	0.62
Tayshaun Prince	80	78	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.16	14	-4	18	16.6	18.7	-2.06	16.9	14.1	2.75
Rasheed Wallace	65	64	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.12	15	-5	20	17.0	16.3	0.67	16.8	16.1	0.70
Carlos Arroyo	23	21	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.20	-9	19	-28	16.8	16.8	-0.05	16.4	16.7	-0.32
Antonio McDyess	30	29	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.12	-7	17	-24	17.3	16.6	0.69	16.8	16.6	0.13
Darko Milicic	11	10	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.11	-11	21	-32	16.5	16.9	-0.31	13.6	17.1	-3.48
Maurice Evans	16	18	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.07	-13	23	-36	19.7	16.2	3.52	15.6	17.0	-1.41

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zoran Planinic	8	9	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.08	7	-17	24	12.9	17.1	-4.19	15.3	17.0	-1.65
Marc Jackson	28	28	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.10	6	-16	22	16.7	16.6	0.12	18.0	16.3	1.75
Jeff McInnis	34	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-14	18	17.1	16.4	0.75	17.2	16.5	0.69
Jacque Vaughn	6	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-10	10	17.0	16.6	0.35	15.9	16.9	-1.04
Clifford Robinson	35	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-10	10	16.2	17.0	-0.75	16.7	16.9	-0.27
Nenad Krstic	56	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.13	-10	0	-10	17.2	15.7	1.49	17.1	16.4	0.69
Vince Carter	67	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	2	-14	16.8	16.2	0.64	16.9	16.7	0.17
Jason Collins	51	53	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.11	-15	5	-20	16.4	17.1	-0.75	16.3	17.6	-1.27
Jason Kidd	65	66	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.14	-14	4	-18	16.9	15.9	1.01	17.0	16.2	0.76
Richard Jefferson	75	77	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.16	-16	6	-22	16.5	17.8	-1.28	16.5	19.2	-2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.27,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 100, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.24,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.01,0	93.9%
SAC 94, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.16,0	93.3%
LAL 104, PHX 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.26,0.24,0.1,0.1,0.05,0,0,0	92.5%