NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	111		Excitement	6.3 [187]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (NYK): +15.8%
New York Knicks	119		Comeback	1.5 [180]		LVP	Lonzo Ball (CLE): -14.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Merrill	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.14	0.00	0.06	11	79%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dean Wade	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	3	125%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Donovan Mitchell	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	25	56%	0.12	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.01
Tyrese Proctor	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.01	7	71%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	18	54%	0.08	3	-0.06	5	40%	-0.04
Craig Porter Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylon Tyson	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Lonzo Ball	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	7	21%	-0.04	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.10	-0.02	12	58%	0.21	3	-0.05	9	89%	0.04
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.00	7	83%	0.19	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	4	82%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.03	11	64%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tyler Kolek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	18	47%	0.04	2	-0.01	13	92%	0.04
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	17	63%	0.10	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.00
Trey Jemison III	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ariel Hukporti	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	0.0	31.0	0.0	35.0	0.0	34.7	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -4.8%

NYK +28.0%

NYK +15.4%

NYK +10.1%

NYK +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	12.9	14.4	14.1	104.7	113.3	113.7
season	13.4	14.9		114.6	120.9
opponent	13.9	14.5		112.1	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.8	12.4	10.7	12.9	12.9
NYK	13.4	14.2	15.0	14.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Nance Jr.	51	51	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.20	6	-14	20	12.3	13.5	-1.22	16.0	12.9	3.15
Tyrese Proctor	64	65	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.40	11	-19	30	12.0	14.2	-2.16	16.0	11.7	4.37
Craig Porter Jr.	28	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	5	-18	15.8	11.8	3.99	14.8	14.2	0.60
Jaylon Tyson	44	44	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.13	-9	1	-10	14.5	11.8	2.68	16.2	13.1	3.14
Jarrett Allen	103	101	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.26	-8	0	-8	13.0	8.0	5.03	14.8	3.2	11.57
Evan Mobley	99	99	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.27	-8	0	-8	12.9	13.3	-0.43	14.4	14.2	0.23
Donovan Mitchell	105	104	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.28	-8	0	-8	13.0	1.0	12.00	14.3	20.0	-5.67
Dean Wade	105	104	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.30	-8	0	-8	13.0	1.0	12.00	14.3	20.0	-5.67
Lonzo Ball	105	104	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.30	-8	0	-8	13.0	1.0	12.00	14.3	20.0	-5.67
Sam Merrill	82	83	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.37	-9	1	-10	13.1	12.2	0.82	14.7	13.4	1.29

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikal Bridges	93	93	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.29	11	-3	14	14.4	14.4	-0.04	13.0	11.9	1.10
Jalen Brunson	104	105	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.28	8	0	8	14.3	20.0	-5.67	13.0	1.0	12.00
OG Anunoby	105	106	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	14.4	0.0	14.38	12.9	0.0	12.89
Ariel Hukporti	54	53	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.28	6	2	4	16.6	12.0	4.63	14.3	11.5	2.75
Miles McBride	91	93	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.16	8	0	8	14.8	11.9	2.83	13.3	10.1	3.20
Landry Shamet	92	93	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	7	-6	15.4	6.9	8.51	13.3	9.7	3.64
Karl-Anthony Towns	86	88	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.32	0	8	-8	15.1	11.1	4.00	12.6	14.5	-1.94
Guerschon Yabusele	44	42	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	5	-2	15.6	13.5	2.12	14.3	12.0	2.28
Tyler Kolek	47	47	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.28	-10	18	-28	16.5	12.7	3.78	12.6	13.1	-0.52
Jordan Clarkson	52	52	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.30	-11	19	-30	16.9	11.9	4.92	12.5	13.3	-0.80
Trey Jemison III	46	47	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	9	-10	14.1	14.6	-0.45	13.8	12.2	1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.59,0.61,0.74,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.72,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.56,0.69,0.64,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.79,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 120, OKC 129	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.61,0.61,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.98,1,1,1	92.6%
CHA 86, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.75,0.89,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.6%
TOR 93, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.9,0.89,0.97,0.99,0.98,1	92.3%