NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	86		Excitement	5.5 [742]		MVP	Nenad Krstic (NJN): +16.4%
New Jersey Nets	93		Comeback	1.1 [1154]		LVP	Melvin Ely (CHA): -13.5%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kapono	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Primoz Brezec	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	10	58%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Bernard Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Hart	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Theron Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.03	0.04	14	62%	0.02	3	-0.08	9	78%	-0.01
Emeka Okafor	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	10	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kareem Rush	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	0.06	7	69%	-0.01	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	5	29%	-0.12	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.05	0.00	12	81%	0.22	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.05
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	9	61%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	10	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Billy Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	0.01	-0.05	9	55%	0.05	7	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	0.04	20	56%	0.04	4	-0.10	10	100%	0.06
Jabari Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	30%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.04	-0.03	8	17%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.0	32.2	15.3	24.6	2.3	27.7	129.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +21.7%

NJN +18.9%

NJN +7.7%

NJN +0.5%

NJN +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NJN	NBA	CHA	NJN	NBA
this game	14.9	15.9	15.5	92.5	98.9	104.0
season	15.5	16.0		99.0	99.2
opponent	15.6	15.1		101.6	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.0	14.1	14.5	16.0	14.9
NJN	14.4	15.3	16.1	18.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kareem Rush	44	47	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.28	10	-17	27	14.6	15.1	-0.55	17.0	14.9	2.13
Theron Smith	17	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.25	7	-14	21	14.0	15.1	-1.05	15.9	15.9	0.01
Emeka Okafor	64	66	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-9	11	15.6	13.1	2.50	16.2	15.4	0.77
Keith Bogans	28	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.17	2	-9	11	12.6	15.8	-3.17	15.3	16.2	-0.90
Bernard Robinson	13	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-6	5	13.2	15.1	-1.98	17.6	15.7	1.89
Gerald Wallace	64	65	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-4	1	15.0	14.6	0.40	15.6	16.7	-1.04
Brevin Knight	61	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-1	-5	15.0	14.7	0.26	16.3	15.2	1.14
Jason Kapono	29	29	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-3	-1	14.6	15.0	-0.40	16.7	15.6	1.04
Primoz Brezec	77	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.05	-12	5	-17	14.9	14.6	0.28	15.4	18.4	-2.94
Jason Hart	31	32	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	7	-21	16.3	14.1	2.19	14.6	16.6	-2.04
Melvin Ely	37	36	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.02	-16	9	-25	15.1	14.7	0.32	15.6	16.1	-0.48

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nenad Krstic	52	52	0.69	-0.19	0.88	-0.01	24	-17	41	16.6	15.1	1.56	15.7	13.8	1.89
Jacque Vaughn	59	58	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-7	21	15.3	17.1	-1.79	14.4	15.6	-1.19
Jabari Smith	31	30	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.20	5	2	3	16.3	15.8	0.53	17.0	13.8	3.21
Travis Best	34	34	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	6	-5	18.5	14.5	4.06	16.1	14.2	1.94
Vince Carter	66	67	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	5	-3	16.8	13.9	2.86	14.4	16.0	-1.53
Ron Mercer	35	33	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.08	6	1	5	15.1	16.4	-1.35	15.1	14.7	0.31
Jason Collins	75	73	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.25	-3	10	-13	15.6	17.2	-1.60	14.4	16.7	-2.34
Jason Kidd	67	66	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.20	-3	10	-13	15.1	18.1	-3.05	14.1	16.7	-2.55
Elden Campbell	2	2	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.00	2	5	-3	2.0	16.2	-14.24	7.0	15.0	-8.03
Billy Thomas	24	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	10	-13	16.0	15.9	0.09	16.4	14.4	2.03
Clifford Robinson	25	27	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.04	-10	17	-27	15.4	16.1	-0.73	13.5	15.4	-1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.75,0.89,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 100, PHI 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%
CHA 79, POR 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.81,0.88,0.8,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
NYK 100, SAC 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.7,0.66,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%