NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	100		Excitement	5.6 [714]		MVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): +15.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	111		Comeback	1.0 [1301]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -11.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.05	-0.02	18	57%	0.19	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.03
Troy Murphy	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	14	58%	0.11	2	-0.06	10	100%	0.04
Zarko Cabarkapa	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	17	46%	0.05	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Derek Fisher	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.04
Adonal Foyle	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	9	70%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.03	-0.04	28	61%	0.28	5	-0.12	6	67%	-0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.02	22	50%	0.14	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.05
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	67%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Michael Bradley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.04	9	75%	0.05	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	7	14%	-0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	31.3	15.8	26.9	2.7	26.5	131.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +17.2%

PHI +2.5%

PHI +12.5%

PHI +13.2%

PHI +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHI	NBA	GSW	PHI	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	15.6	104.2	113.3	104.4
season	14.8	15.2		102.9	104.1
opponent	15.3	15.5		106.0	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.2	15.5	13.9	16.0	14.9
PHI	13.0	15.8	14.9	16.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zarko Cabarkapa	15	15	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-12	13	15.3	14.8	0.56	16.6	14.5	2.09
Calbert Cheaney	10	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-11	11	17.1	14.6	2.50	12.0	15.2	-3.18
Andris Biedrins	35	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-9	7	13.5	15.6	-2.13	15.4	14.5	0.93
Ike Diogu	9	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-8	5	14.9	14.9	0.03	11.3	15.2	-3.93
Baron Davis	75	76	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-8	5	14.3	16.8	-2.49	15.6	12.1	3.47
Derek Fisher	58	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-6	1	15.7	13.5	2.22	14.6	15.1	-0.50
Adonal Foyle	56	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-7	3	15.6	13.8	1.87	14.8	14.8	0.03
Mike Dunleavy	63	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	1	-13	14.3	15.9	-1.59	14.7	15.1	-0.40
Troy Murphy	77	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	3	-17	14.8	15.1	-0.23	14.7	15.5	-0.87
Jason Richardson	82	83	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	2	-15	14.9	14.7	0.18	14.7	15.3	-0.60

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	89	86	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.12	14	-3	17	14.8	14.7	0.18	14.6	17.4	-2.83
Kyle Korver	91	88	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.08	13	-2	15	14.8	15.7	-0.96	14.6	18.0	-3.42
Allen Iverson	89	88	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	1	9	15.1	12.6	2.50	14.7	16.1	-1.37
Shavlik Randolph	41	38	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.15	9	2	7	14.5	15.1	-0.58	16.6	13.7	2.88
Andre Iguodala	68	68	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	1	9	14.1	16.4	-2.22	14.7	15.3	-0.64
John Salmons	37	36	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	12	-13	16.2	14.0	2.28	15.9	14.2	1.68
Samuel Dalembert	56	57	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	7	-3	15.3	14.2	1.03	13.6	16.6	-2.99
Kevin Ollie	9	8	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	10	-9	12.6	15.1	-2.50	16.1	14.7	1.37
Michael Bradley	10	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.09	-5	16	-21	13.6	15.0	-1.37	17.5	14.5	2.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 86, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.75,0.89,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%
DEN 100, PHX 113	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.68,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
LAC 92, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.88,0.86,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%