NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	121		Excitement	5.6 [663]		MVP	Paul George (PHI): +21.3%
Charlotte Hornets	108		Comeback	1.0 [852]		LVP	Vasilije Micic (CHA): -9.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.21	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.03	0.02	20	79%	0.29	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.06	0.01	11	68%	0.17	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	28	58%	0.14	4	-0.07	13	77%	-0.01
Eric Gordon	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	5	90%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.06	-0.00	1	50%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	7	60%	0.10	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Council IV	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
KJ Martin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Bridges	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.08	0.02	19	59%	0.17	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	9	79%	0.12	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Josh Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	59%	0.03	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Brandon Miller	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	9	57%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Isaiah Wong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	4	87%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Moussa Diabate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.02	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tidjane Salaun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	15	44%	-0.01	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.05	-0.06	0.05	7	71%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vasilije Micic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	1.8	31.0	14.4	27.6	2.5	37.2	142.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +33.0%

PHI +7.3%

PHI +4.2%

PHI +2.7%

PHI +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHA	NBA	PHI	CHA	NBA
this game	14.1	14.0	14.4	117.5	105.9	113.1
season	15.0	15.0		110.4	106.2
opponent	14.2	14.2		115.2	116.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.6	17.0	12.4	15.0	14.1
CHA	14.7	14.3	12.9	14.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrese Maxey	89	88	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.12	18	-5	23	13.3	18.8	-5.46	13.9	14.6	-0.71
Kelly Oubre Jr.	87	86	0.58	-0.09	0.67	0.03	19	-6	25	13.3	18.1	-4.80	14.3	12.4	1.96
Paul George	84	83	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.12	11	2	9	14.2	13.5	0.73	14.5	11.8	2.75
Andre Drummond	61	59	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	4	5	14.3	13.7	0.68	14.5	13.4	1.02
Guerschon Yabusele	38	38	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	10	-7	14.7	13.7	1.06	13.6	14.3	-0.68
Ricky Council IV	19	19	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	8	-3	13.6	14.2	-0.60	11.4	14.6	-3.21
Eric Gordon	56	55	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	14	-15	14.9	13.1	1.73	13.3	14.8	-1.48
KJ Martin	46	46	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	12	-11	14.5	13.7	0.74	13.3	14.6	-1.28
Kyle Lowry	35	36	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	13	-13	14.7	13.7	1.02	15.4	13.3	2.14

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moussa Diabate	32	32	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.07	3	-16	19	13.9	14.1	-0.23	14.5	13.9	0.58
Isaiah Wong	24	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-15	17	14.9	13.8	1.16	16.8	13.2	3.61
Miles Bridges	62	64	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.14	2	-15	17	13.7	14.5	-0.86	13.9	14.4	-0.51
Brandon Miller	65	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-10	7	14.7	12.9	1.79	14.2	13.8	0.36
Nick Richards	34	34	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-8	3	14.2	14.0	0.22	13.5	14.3	-0.80
Cody Martin	62	62	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.01	-9	-4	-5	13.4	15.0	-1.56	14.0	14.1	-0.13
Mark Williams	36	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	-2	-9	14.0	14.0	-0.00	14.2	14.0	0.23
Vasilije Micic	33	33	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.10	-14	1	-15	15.6	13.3	2.33	14.1	14.1	0.03
LaMelo Ball	60	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	-3	-7	12.0	16.9	-4.89	13.1	15.4	-2.30
Josh Green	65	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	-2	-9	15.0	12.3	2.76	13.5	14.9	-1.38
Tidjane Salaun	37	37	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.12	-9	-4	-5	14.0	14.0	-0.05	14.8	13.6	1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.37,0.38,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 107, MIN 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.33,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0	94.1%
UTA 82, SAS 73	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.27,0.17,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.04,0	93.6%
DAL 113, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.25,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.4%