inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 124 Excitement8.9 [75] MVPTim Hardaway Jr. (DET): +22.7%
Detroit Pistons 125 Comeback45.1 [10] LVPTyler Herro (MIA): -27.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jimmy Butler0.170,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.220.010.062165%0.1700.001283%0.03
Duncan Robinson0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.050.041065%0.082-0.0300%0.00
Dru Smith0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.00470%0.051-0.022100%0.00
Haywood Highsmith0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.01-0.00275%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.011248%0.011-0.013100%0.01
Kevin Love-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.01540%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Terry Rozier-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.00-0.040.02855%-0.032-0.034100%0.01
Bam Adebayo-0.090,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.090.04-0.13-0.001258%-0.001-0.082100%0.01
Tyler Herro-0.270,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.02,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,-0.27-0.03-0.220.022545%-0.203-0.081100%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.43,0.230.230.060.15-0.021167%0.452-0.22250%-0.01
Ronald Holland II0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.01-0.02567%0.0700.00250%-0.00
Ausar Thompson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.01-0.031459%0.113-0.05450%-0.03
Malik Beasley0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.16-0.080.051872%0.082-0.053100%0.01
Paul Reed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.00460%0.0300.002100%0.01
Simone Fontecchio0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.01-0.04656%0.063-0.044100%0.02
Marcus Sasser0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.000.01475%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Cade Cunningham0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.011751%0.174-0.18560%0.03
Isaiah Stewart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00450%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Jalen Duren0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.05-0.050.01760%-0.015-0.101100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.32.032.014.828.62.532.82.014.9153.8
league avg25.82.328.114.928.42.332.32.315.6134.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +80.5%
DET +8.5%
DET +2.1%
MIA -40.3%
MIA -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIADETNBAMIADETNBA
this game14.013.714.3108.8107.8112.0
season14.814.3112.5110.6
opponent14.614.6112.9110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA14.113.814.811.318.114.0
DET12.112.913.518.79.213.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dru Smith64670.19-0.690.88-0.4221-224312.815.4-2.6115.111.83.26
Kevin Love29300.17-0.670.83-0.109-101911.814.7-2.8812.714.0-1.32
Haywood Highsmith4542-0.17-0.330.160.24-1413-2714.813.41.4012.714.3-1.59
Jimmy Butler9396-0.24-0.260.03-0.5611-122314.113.60.4913.812.90.94
Jaime Jaquez Jr.4345-0.31-0.19-0.120.10-1413-2713.514.3-0.8212.814.3-1.51
Tyler Herro8586-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.506-71314.612.12.5114.012.91.05
Terry Rozier7174-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.443-4713.514.8-1.2714.212.81.33
Bam Adebayo8586-0.680.18-0.86-0.39-109-1914.711.82.8814.012.71.32
Duncan Robinson5554-0.790.29-1.08-0.29-1716-3314.513.51.0012.115.0-2.87

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Hardaway Jr.76770.86-0.361.230.89-12-314.412.41.9914.313.30.96
Ronald Holland II54500.70-0.200.900.526-51112.914.4-1.5513.714.2-0.45
Cade Cunningham91900.58-0.080.650.319-81713.613.8-0.1514.611.62.98
Jalen Duren68680.55-0.050.590.69-56-1113.813.50.3114.413.31.09
Malik Beasley90900.50-0.000.510.278-71513.215.4-2.2513.914.4-0.51
Isaiah Stewart18160.180.32-0.14-0.099-81711.414.1-2.7113.814.0-0.19
Paul Reed2423-0.010.51-0.520.05-23-515.413.22.1914.313.90.36
Marcus Sasser4845-0.110.61-0.710.10-78-1513.813.60.1913.014.6-1.57
Ausar Thompson5556-0.300.80-1.090.08-1314-2714.213.20.9513.914.0-0.12
Simone Fontecchio5655-0.450.95-1.40-0.4810113.713.7-0.0413.114.7-1.60


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.73,0.46,0.31,0.16,0.06,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 88, HOU 900.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.46,0.53,0.37,0.06,0.42,189.1%
CHI 129, TOR 1340.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.62,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.79,0.83,0.72,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.58,189.1%
WAS 87, NYK 1030.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,187.9%