NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	88		Excitement	9.4 [81]		MVP	Samuel Dalembert (HOU): +28.2%
Houston Rockets	90		Comeback	19.2 [100]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (HOU): -41.5%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.18,0.18	0.03	0.16	0.01	16	52%	0.21	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.01	-0.03	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gustavo Ayon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	9	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carl Landry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	9	45%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12	0.04	-0.14	0.03	12	56%	-0.10	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.30	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.1,0.04,-0.3	-0.06	-0.24	0.01	15	44%	-0.03	3	-0.27	4	50%	-0.11
Chris Kaman	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.16	-0.16	-0.00	9	25%	-0.19	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.28	0.28	-0.02	0.28	-0.01	14	52%	0.35	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.02
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	12	65%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04
Jeff Adrien	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.05	-0.01	9	54%	0.12	5	-0.12	6	83%	0.07
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	5	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.3,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,-0.17	-0.17	0.15	-0.29	0.03	27	56%	-0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.28,-0.28,-0.41	-0.41	-0.15	-0.29	-0.03	11	43%	-0.11	7	-0.30	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	26.2	14.7	23.2	1.5	28.6	1.8	14.6	135.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +9.9%

HOU +23.1%

HOU +10.5%

NOH -2.0%

HOU +8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	HOU	NBA	NOH	HOU	NBA
this game	15.6	16.9	15.6	88.9	92.8	102.8
season	16.3	15.4		99.2	103.5
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.2	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NOH	15.4	16.6	16.5	12.9	17.1	15.6
HOU	14.0	17.7	15.5	21.4	16.1	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	76	77	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.06	5	-7	12	15.0	17.4	-2.45	16.9	16.7	0.20
Emeka Okafor	48	49	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.10	-3	1	-4	16.0	15.1	0.90	16.9	17.0	-0.10
Gustavo Ayon	4	4	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.00	-2	0	-2	15.5	15.6	-0.06	18.7	16.8	1.92
Carl Landry	41	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-4	6	15.0	16.0	-0.99	15.7	17.9	-2.19
Greivis Vasquez	30	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	0	-2	15.4	15.6	-0.27	16.5	17.1	-0.56
Al-Farouq Aminu	32	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	2	-6	16.7	15.0	1.76	16.9	16.9	-0.05
Jason Smith	54	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	0	-2	16.0	15.0	0.98	17.8	15.9	1.85
Jarrett Jack	69	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-2	2	15.6	15.4	0.27	17.1	16.5	0.56
Marco Belinelli	80	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.28	-3	1	-4	15.4	16.1	-0.68	17.0	16.7	0.26
Chris Kaman	51	48	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.54	1	-3	4	15.1	16.0	-0.90	17.0	16.9	0.10

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	78	81	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.38	7	-5	12	16.4	19.1	-2.67	15.7	14.7	1.02
Kevin Martin	74	77	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.26	9	-7	16	17.5	15.0	2.44	16.3	12.9	3.46
Kyle Lowry	76	79	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.38	4	-2	6	16.5	18.5	-2.00	15.8	14.5	1.26
Luis Scola	74	78	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	-7	16	17.5	15.0	2.56	16.2	13.2	2.94
Chandler Parsons	47	46	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	-6	14	15.6	18.2	-2.59	16.1	15.1	0.99
Courtney Lee	48	51	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.47	-5	7	-12	16.5	17.3	-0.76	14.8	16.3	-1.51
Patrick Patterson	34	32	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.22	-6	8	-14	16.0	17.4	-1.40	14.3	16.1	-1.79
Goran Dragic	23	22	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	4	-6	18.0	16.6	1.38	14.8	15.8	-0.95
Jeff Adrien	8	7	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	8	-14	20.2	16.6	3.64	12.0	15.8	-3.83
Chase Budinger	23	22	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.10	-8	10	-18	19.0	16.3	2.69	13.3	16.2	-2.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.46,0.53,0.37,0.06,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 129, TOR 134	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.62,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.79,0.83,0.72,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.58,1	91.4%
MIL 102, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.92,0.85,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.77,0.95,0.54,0.61,0.45,0.09,0.42,1	89.4%
NYK 129, SAC 135	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.92,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.92,1	88.9%