NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	106		Excitement	5.4 [265]		MVP	Harrison Barnes (SAS): +11.4%
San Antonio Spurs	92		Comeback	1.2 [324]		LVP	Stephon Castle (SAS): -19.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.02	15	52%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Anthony Edwards	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	21	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jaden McDaniels	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	10	55%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rob Dillingham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Shannon Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Garza	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Josh Minott	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Dozier	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	11	42%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	11	43%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Mike Conley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	9	50%	-0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	10	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	-0.00	0.02	10	77%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Julian Champagnie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	14	39%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sidy Cissoko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	0.00	0.08	2	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malaki Branham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	0.02	10	71%	0.08	5	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Charles Bassey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	5	80%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Blake Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	20	47%	0.05	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	11	18%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	5	0%	-0.07	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Castle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.05	-0.00	8	12%	-0.12	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.4	26.7	14.7	24.2	2.5	30.2	123.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +20.2%

MIN +6.9%

MIN +4.7%

MIN +18.0%

MIN +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAS	NBA	MIN	SAS	NBA
this game	14.8	14.2	14.3	106.0	92.9	111.8
season	14.8	14.4		110.0	111.2
opponent	14.4	14.5		112.4	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.0	14.8	14.5	14.7	14.8
SAS	15.0	14.0	13.8	14.1	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Naz Reid	57	55	0.74	-0.24	0.97	-0.03	26	-12	38	14.3	15.4	-1.07	14.5	13.8	0.61
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	50	51	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.23	28	-14	42	14.3	15.2	-0.92	14.8	13.5	1.32
Donte DiVincenzo	40	40	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-1	16	14.4	15.0	-0.52	15.2	13.5	1.79
Mike Conley	58	57	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	10	-6	15.5	13.7	1.76	14.0	14.5	-0.51
Rudy Gobert	71	71	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.07	8	6	2	15.0	14.1	0.92	14.4	13.6	0.85
Anthony Edwards	58	59	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.15	9	5	4	15.1	14.3	0.74	14.3	14.0	0.35
Julius Randle	58	60	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.14	8	6	2	15.2	14.1	1.15	14.1	14.3	-0.17
Rob Dillingham	21	19	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.24	-6	20	-26	14.0	15.0	-0.96	14.1	14.2	-0.16
Jaden McDaniels	59	59	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.12	6	8	-2	14.9	14.5	0.46	13.5	15.2	-1.71
Terrence Shannon Jr.	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	21	-28	13.3	14.9	-1.59	11.8	14.3	-2.50
Luka Garza	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	21	-28	13.3	14.9	-1.59	11.8	14.3	-2.50
Josh Minott	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	21	-28	13.3	14.9	-1.59	11.8	14.3	-2.50
PJ Dozier	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	21	-28	13.3	14.9	-1.59	11.8	14.3	-2.50

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	62	62	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.02	2	-16	18	13.5	15.3	-1.78	15.3	13.9	1.35
Sidy Cissoko	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-20	26	11.8	14.3	-2.50	13.3	14.9	-1.59
Malaki Branham	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-20	26	11.8	14.3	-2.50	13.3	14.9	-1.59
Blake Wesley	19	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.21	5	-19	24	14.1	14.2	-0.16	14.0	15.0	-0.96
Jeremy Sochan	63	63	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-10	6	13.7	15.1	-1.46	15.5	13.5	1.98
Sandro Mamukelashvili	17	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-17	20	14.5	14.1	0.35	13.5	15.1	-1.59
Julian Champagnie	59	59	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-8	2	14.8	13.2	1.56	15.0	14.4	0.63
Victor Wembanyama	69	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	-6	-2	14.3	13.9	0.36	15.6	12.9	2.64
Charles Bassey	30	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-8	2	13.9	14.3	-0.36	12.9	15.6	-2.64
Harrison Barnes	62	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	1	-16	14.8	13.1	1.76	15.2	14.1	1.12
Stephon Castle	47	49	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	0.00	-23	9	-32	14.1	14.2	-0.14	14.4	15.1	-0.73
Devin Vassell	55	52	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	0.20	-30	16	-46	14.7	13.6	1.06	14.0	15.6	-1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.16,0.36,0.26,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 90, MEM 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.25,0.31,0.19,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	94.2%
POR 105, NYK 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.23,0.31,0.23,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0	94.1%
GSW 103, CLE 82	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%