NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	103		Excitement	5.0 [808]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (GSW): +10.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	82		Comeback	1.6 [708]		LVP	Matthew Dellavedova (CLE): -15.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.02	0.05	15	69%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Harrison Barnes	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	9	64%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Draymond Green	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	11	59%	0.08	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Stephen Curry	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	17	61%	0.16	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
James Michael McAdoo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	16	64%	0.11	3	-0.04	12	83%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	10	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mike Miller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	9	28%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	22	37%	-0.06	2	-0.02	10	50%	-0.06
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	12	17%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	14	33%	-0.08	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	3.7	38.1	17.4	34.2	3.5	34.6	156.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +63.4%

GSW +9.9%

CLE -24.2%

GSW +0.9%

GSW +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CLE	NBA	GSW	CLE	NBA
this game	13.5	17.9	15.1	113.2	89.1	104.2
season	13.6	15.9		109.2	108.7
opponent	14.9	15.5		104.1	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.5	14.0	13.2	14.5	13.5
CLE	19.3	17.3	16.8	18.2	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaun Livingston	45	45	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.16	25	-4	29	13.6	13.5	0.01	19.0	16.8	2.19
Stephen Curry	77	80	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.06	18	3	15	13.3	14.8	-1.46	18.1	16.3	1.80
Draymond Green	61	63	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.05	16	5	11	13.4	13.8	-0.42	17.9	17.9	0.01
Harrison Barnes	62	65	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.08	9	12	-3	12.5	15.7	-3.14	18.8	15.8	2.95
Klay Thompson	75	76	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.15	15	6	9	13.8	12.2	1.58	17.5	19.7	-2.24
Andre Iguodala	75	76	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.19	16	5	11	13.8	12.3	1.50	17.5	19.9	-2.39
David Lee	30	28	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	17	-13	13.5	13.6	-0.07	18.7	17.5	1.17
Leandro Barbosa	14	12	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.05	3	18	-15	14.8	13.3	1.46	16.3	18.1	-1.80
Andrew Bogut	5	5	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	21	-21	16.8	13.4	3.44	14.0	18.1	-4.13
Justin Holiday	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	21	-21	15.0	13.5	1.52	12.7	18.1	-5.39
Marreese Speights	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	21	-21	15.0	13.5	1.52	12.7	18.1	-5.39
James Michael McAdoo	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	14.7	13.5	1.16	14.0	18.0	-3.99

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-19	17	13.4	18.2	-4.76	16.0	13.4	2.62
Mike Miller	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-19	17	13.4	18.2	-4.76	16.0	13.4	2.62
Joe Harris	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-19	17	13.4	18.2	-4.76	16.0	13.4	2.62
Timofey Mozgov	65	64	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	-16	11	17.6	18.6	-0.98	14.0	12.5	1.47
Matthew Dellavedova	66	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-12	-9	-3	17.8	18.1	-0.30	13.7	13.2	0.46
Iman Shumpert	78	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-9	-3	18.1	16.9	1.23	13.0	16.0	-3.01
LeBron James	78	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	-6	-9	18.0	17.6	0.39	13.6	13.1	0.56
Tristan Thompson	75	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	-8	-5	17.7	18.8	-1.13	13.6	13.4	0.13
James Jones	32	32	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.01	-15	-6	-9	18.9	17.4	1.54	13.7	13.5	0.16
J.R. Smith	51	50	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.28	-27	6	-33	19.0	16.5	2.46	12.5	14.8	-2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 98, HOU 88	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
IND 118, WAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
GSW 121, CHA 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.04,0,0,0	94.1%