NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	98		Excitement	5.1 [484]		MVP	Robert Horry (LAL): +11.0%
Houston Rockets	88		Comeback	1.2 [313]		LVP	Scottie Pippen (HOU): -16.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.03	7	86%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Harper	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	9	59%	0.07	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	22	60%	0.08	2	-0.04	18	50%	-0.07
Travis Knight	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.11	0.04	-0.05	25	43%	0.02	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.04
Derek Fisher	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	13	57%	-0.01	2	-0.00	9	67%	-0.04
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	6	42%	0.02	5	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	0.07	19	45%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	0.06	10	46%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.21	-0.02	-0.06	23	37%	-0.02	5	-0.14	6	67%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.7	30.1	20.6	32.3	2.5	38.5	151.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +49.3%

LAL +3.9%

HOU -2.9%

HOU -0.4%

LAL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	14.8	15.7	15.8	103.2	93.6	99.6
season	14.9	16.0		104.7	103.1
opponent	15.6	15.8		100.8	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.4	14.7	15.6	14.6	14.8
HOU	15.0	18.0	15.7	14.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Harper	57	57	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-4	18	14.8	14.9	-0.11	15.5	15.9	-0.39
Robert Horry	54	54	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-2	14	14.6	15.0	-0.39	14.3	17.6	-3.30
Kobe Bryant	94	93	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-1	12	14.8	13.0	1.82	15.8	9.0	6.75
J.R. Reid	67	67	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.10	13	-3	16	15.9	12.1	3.87	16.8	12.9	3.87
Shaquille O'Neal	83	83	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.09	11	-1	12	15.3	11.2	4.16	16.3	11.0	5.30
Sean Rooks	8	8	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.02	2	8	-6	14.2	14.9	-0.60	11.7	16.0	-4.30
Travis Knight	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	13	-16	5.0	15.2	-10.23	9.0	15.9	-6.90
Tyronn Lue	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	11	-12	13.0	14.8	-1.82	9.0	15.8	-6.75
Rick Fox	69	67	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.14	-5	15	-20	13.8	17.4	-3.56	15.7	15.6	0.07
Derek Fisher	38	37	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	14	-18	14.9	14.8	0.11	15.9	15.5	0.39

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	37	39	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.11	7	-17	24	17.3	14.6	2.71	14.7	14.8	-0.10
Antoine Carr	12	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.15	1	-11	12	11.6	16.3	-4.70	20.2	14.0	6.14
Sam Mack	40	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-6	2	15.3	15.9	-0.62	13.2	16.0	-2.74
Hakeem Olajuwon	78	79	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-6	2	16.0	14.0	2.03	14.0	18.8	-4.83
Michael Dickerson	66	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-6	2	15.8	15.4	0.41	15.9	12.2	3.68
Othella Harrington	15	15	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.07	-12	2	-14	15.6	15.7	-0.10	14.2	14.9	-0.71
Charles Barkley	83	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-5	0	16.0	13.5	2.42	14.9	14.0	0.90
Scottie Pippen	82	83	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.18	-12	2	-14	15.8	15.2	0.59	14.7	15.7	-0.99
Brent Price	57	56	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.10	-17	7	-24	14.6	17.3	-2.71	14.8	14.7	0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 103, CLE 82	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
GSW 121, CHA 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.04,0,0,0	95.2%
NYK 97, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0	94.9%