NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	111		Excitement	7.0 [146]		MVP	Domantas Sabonis (SAC): +28.9%
New Orleans Pelicans	109		Comeback	1.9 [254]		LVP	Dejounte Murray (NOP): -25.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Domantas Sabonis	0.29	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.25	0.07	0.04	15	82%	0.32	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.05
DeMar DeRozan	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19	0.14	0.03	-0.02	18	62%	0.22	1	-0.03	11	91%	0.04
Keegan Murray	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.05	-0.02	14	62%	0.18	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Colby Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Robinson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Ellis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Huerter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	10	32%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
De'Aaron Fox	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	20	41%	-0.02	5	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Malik Monk	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	11	23%	-0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.36,0.25	0.25	0.24	0.06	0.05	24	72%	0.31	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Trey Murphy III	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	13	64%	0.11	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	87%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Yves Missi	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	78%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Antonio Reeves	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Jemison III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Cain	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Boston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	9	45%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Herbert Jones	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	10	35%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.25	-0.25	-0.12	-0.15	-0.02	19	50%	-0.06	8	-0.19	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	1.8	29.4	14.7	29.8	1.6	27.2	131.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP -6.0%

SAC +9.2%

SAC +24.5%

SAC +19.3%

SAC +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NOP	NBA	SAC	NOP	NBA
this game	14.7	14.8	14.3	113.3	112.4	111.9
season	13.8	14.9		114.2	106.2
opponent	14.0	14.9		117.4	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.1	15.4	14.1	16.7	14.7
NOP	14.6	13.4	15.3	16.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Domantas Sabonis	71	72	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.32	6	-4	10	14.2	16.1	-1.94	14.3	16.1	-1.73
DeMar DeRozan	71	72	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.32	6	-4	10	14.2	16.1	-1.94	14.3	16.1	-1.73
Malik Monk	71	72	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.32	6	-4	10	14.2	16.1	-1.94	14.3	16.1	-1.73
De'Aaron Fox	76	75	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	-1	4	14.9	14.3	0.61	14.9	14.5	0.32
Kevin Huerter	57	55	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.35	-3	5	-8	15.0	14.3	0.69	14.8	14.8	0.01
Keon Ellis	39	39	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.19	2	0	2	14.5	14.9	-0.43	15.8	14.1	1.72
Keegan Murray	68	67	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.22	1	1	0	15.1	14.0	1.03	15.3	13.7	1.54
Alex Len	10	11	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	-2	6	18.7	14.3	4.40	19.1	14.2	4.85
Orlando Robinson	5	4	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	3	-4	17.0	14.6	2.38	14.2	14.8	-0.57
Colby Jones	10	8	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.11	-7	9	-16	18.5	14.3	4.18	13.1	14.9	-1.82
Isaac Jones	12	10	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	9	-16	13.7	14.9	-1.23	13.5	14.9	-1.44

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Reeves	8	9	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-5	8	14.2	14.8	-0.59	12.6	15.0	-2.41
Daniel Theis	31	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-7	12	14.9	14.7	0.21	13.1	15.5	-2.45
Trey Jemison III	7	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-1	0	10.9	15.1	-4.24	14.2	14.8	-0.62
Jamal Cain	30	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-5	8	15.5	14.5	1.02	16.6	14.0	2.57
Brandon Boston	54	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-4	6	14.9	14.7	0.17	14.3	15.2	-0.92
Herbert Jones	69	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.22	-5	3	-8	15.0	14.2	0.76	15.3	13.2	2.09
Yves Missi	59	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.21	-6	4	-10	15.2	14.2	1.00	15.7	13.3	2.42
Trey Murphy III	82	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-1	0	14.7	15.3	-0.56	14.1	18.5	-4.47
CJ McCollum	71	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.30	-4	2	-6	14.9	14.6	0.24	15.6	12.2	3.47
Dejounte Murray	74	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.32	-6	4	-10	14.3	16.3	-1.92	13.9	17.3	-3.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 117, NJN 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.5%
HOU 86, IND 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.15,0.09,0	93.6%
TOR 100, NJN 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.68,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	93.6%