NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	101		Excitement	7.3 [417]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (LAC): +14.5%
Sacramento Kings	100		Comeback	2.5 [776]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (SAC): -26.7%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15	0.13	0.02	-0.00	21	58%	0.15	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Ivica Zubac	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14	0.12	0.01	-0.00	10	81%	0.16	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.06	-0.04	9	61%	0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.03	11	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Ben Simmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,-0.12	0.01	-0.15	-0.01	15	62%	0.14	5	-0.26	7	71%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	90%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.01	15	59%	0.17	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	69%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Keegan Murray	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	9	45%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Keon Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	83%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.07	23	52%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.27	-0.27	-0.06	-0.22	-0.01	20	36%	-0.27	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	25.3	15.3	26.6	2.6	40.5	137.1
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +50.8%

SAC -6.1%

LAC +11.6%

SAC -16.6%

LAC +10.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAC	NBA	LAC	SAC	NBA
this game	14.2	17.1	14.4	111.0	107.5	113.1
season	14.9	14.3		113.8	115.1
opponent	14.6	14.4		114.9	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.9	13.3	13.5	16.0	14.2
SAC	14.3	18.0	19.8	16.7	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ivica Zubac	68	68	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.57	10	-9	19	14.1	14.3	-0.22	17.0	17.2	-0.21
Kawhi Leonard	81	82	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.47	5	-4	9	14.2	14.2	-0.01	17.1	16.9	0.20
Kris Dunn	44	46	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-9	19	13.7	14.6	-0.85	16.5	17.6	-1.12
James Harden	80	83	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.44	3	-2	5	14.2	14.4	-0.20	16.9	18.3	-1.36
Bogdan Bogdanovic	38	39	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.03	2	-1	3	13.9	14.4	-0.46	17.7	16.7	1.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	48	49	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.49	-14	15	-29	15.2	13.1	2.07	17.3	16.9	0.42
Norman Powell	71	71	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	1	-1	13.6	16.1	-2.45	17.0	17.4	-0.42
Drew Eubanks	3	4	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	5	-9	17.0	14.1	2.91	13.5	17.2	-3.75
Ben Simmons	22	23	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.03	-7	8	-15	15.0	13.9	1.07	18.3	16.7	1.68

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Carter	30	27	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.01	8	-9	17	18.5	16.4	2.09	15.0	13.8	1.21
Jonas Valanciunas	21	20	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.05	4	-5	9	17.1	17.1	0.07	13.6	14.4	-0.75
Keegan Murray	66	62	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.32	7	-8	15	16.3	19.0	-2.64	14.2	14.2	-0.08
Trey Lyles	54	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	1	-3	17.9	15.9	2.05	14.6	13.6	1.04
Domantas Sabonis	75	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.37	-5	4	-9	17.2	16.7	0.52	14.1	14.5	-0.34
Keon Ellis	64	64	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.31	-9	8	-17	16.2	19.0	-2.83	13.8	15.0	-1.21
Zach LaVine	77	78	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.49	-5	4	-9	17.6	14.7	2.90	14.3	13.8	0.49
DeMar DeRozan	78	76	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.62	-3	2	-5	16.7	19.0	-2.28	14.0	14.9	-0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 111, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0	93.3%
MIA 89, PHI 78	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.43,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.1,0.22,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.01,0.02,0	93.0%
UTA 113, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.72,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.15,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.07,0,0,0,0,0	92.6%